Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate?
Data up to Jan 2025
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Abstract
References (1703)
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Likeness and Likelihood in Everyday Thought: Magical Thinking in Judgments About Personality [and Comments and Reply]
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Probability Forecasting in Meteorology
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Overconfidence in Probability and Frequency Judgments: A Critical Examination
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Perceived Risk, Stigma, and Potential Economic Impacts of a High‐Level Nuclear Waste Repository in Nevada
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An Anchoring and Adjustment Model of Spousal Predictions
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Darwin, Sex, and Status: Biological Approaches to Mind and Culture
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Nonlinear Decision Weights in Choice Under Uncertainty
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Base Rates in Bayesian Inference: Signal Detection Analysis of the Cab Problem
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Paradoxical effects of supportive audiences on performance under pressure: The home field disadvantage in sports championships.
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Judging Risk and Return of Financial Assets
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Human Information Processing and Adjudication: Trial by Heuristics
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The Framing of Decisions: A New Look at Old Problems
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Cognitive processes in preference reversals
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Ability Testing: Uses, Consequences, and Controversies
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Professional Expectations: Accuracy and Diagnosis of Errors
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The More You Ask For, the More You Get: Anchoring in Personal Injury Verdicts
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Counterfactual Thinking and Victim Compensation
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Positive and Negative Life Changes Following Bereavement and their Relations to Adjustment
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Knowledge Maps
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Teaching the Use of Cost-Benefit Reasoning in Everyday Life
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Thinking backward: Some curable and incurable consequences of cognitive busyness.
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Accountability amplifies the status quo effect when change creates victims
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Fuzzy-Trace Theory and Framing Effects in Children's Risky Decision Making
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The Illusory Transparency of Intention: Linguistic Perspective Taking in Text
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Forecasting with scenarios
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On being cool and collected: Mood regulation in anticipation of social interaction.
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Elastic Justification: How Unjustifiable Factors Influence Judgments
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Conversational Implicature, Conscious Representation, and the Conjunction Fallacy
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On the functional equivalence of literal and metaphorical interpretations in discourse
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Confidence, uncertainty, and the use of information.
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Testing for juxtaposition and event-splitting effects
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Intensity Bias in Affective Forecasting: The Role of Temporal Focus
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Enhancement Bias in Descriptions of Self and Others
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Epistemics: The Regulative Theory of Cognition
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Concepts in developmental theories of reading skill: Cognitive resources, automaticity, and modularity
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Doing the impossible: A note on induction and the experience of randomness.
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Rational explanation of the selection task.
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Effects of strategic self-presentation on subsequent self-esteem.
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Bias in Utility Assessments: Further Evidence and Explanations
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Adult Egocentrism: Subjective Experience versus Analytic Bases for Judgment
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The availability bias in social perception and interaction
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Intuitions of the Transparency of Idioms: Can One Keep a Secret by Spilling the Beans?
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The effects of explaining hypothetical future events: From possibility to probability to actuality and beyond
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The Influence of Attributions on the Relevance of Negative Feelings to Personal Satisfaction
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Social Decision Heuristics in the Use of Shared Resources
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Controlling software projects : management, measurement & estimation
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Languages and Designs for Probability Judgment*
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Overreaction and underreaction in analysts' forecasts
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Cognitive Ability and Variation in Selection Task Performance
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Nontransitive preferences in decision theory
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Everyday Reasoning and the Roots of Intelligence
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Food, Sex, and Pollution: A New Guinea Religion.
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Efficiency of the Market for Racetrack Betting
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Additive representations of non-additive measures and the choquet integral
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Teen Expectations for Significant Life Events
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The Effect of Sexual Arousal on Expectations of Sexual Forcefulness
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Are Financial Analysts' Forecasts of Corporate Profits Rational?
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Thinking the Unthinkable: The Effects of Anchoring on Likelihood Estimates of Nuclear War1
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Effects of situation familiarity and financial incentives on use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic for probability assessment
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Primary error detection and minimization (PEDMIN) strategies in social cognition: A reinterpretation of confirmation bias phenomena.
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Elastic Justification: How Tempting but Task-Irrelevant Factors Influence Decisions
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Gradedness and conceptual combination
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Effects of justification and a mechanical aid on judgment performance
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Does the Grist Change the Mill? The Effect of the Perceiver's Inferential Goal on the Process of Social Inference
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Determinants of Overconfidence and Miscalibration: The Roles of Random Error and Ecological Structure
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When every relationship is above average: Perceptions and expectations of divorce at the time of marriage.
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The Egocentric Basis of Language Use
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Towards a Psychology of Food and Eating: From Motivation to Module to Model to Marker, Morality, Meaning, and Metaphor
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Moral Overtones of Food: Judgments of Others Based on What they Eat
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Categorical Inference Is Not a Tree: The Myth of Inheritance Hierarchies
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Self‐Favoring Biases, Self‐Presentation, and the Self‐Other Asymmetry in Social Comparison
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Experience and the base-rate fallacy
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Comparing the Calibration and Coherence of Numerical and Verbal Probability Judgments
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Russia under the Bolshevik Regime
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THE MULTIPLICITY OF THOUGHT*
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Temporal order and the perceived mutability of events: Implications for blame assignment.
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Automatic Contextual Facilitation in Readers of Three Ages
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Base rates can affect individual predictions.
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Subjective confidence in forecasts
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HORSE RACING: TESTING THE EFFICIENT MARKETS MODEL
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Confidence in judgment
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Conservatism in Complex Probabilistic Inference
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Probable Values of the General Physical Constants
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Why the distinction between single-event probabilities and frequencies is important for psychology (and vice versa).
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Absolute and Relative Biases in Estimations of Personal Risk1
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Probability and Certainty in Seventeenth Century England
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Structuring decision problems and the ‘bias heuristic’
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No one in my group can be below the group's average: A robust positivity bias in favor of anonymous peers.
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Elastic shifts of opinion: Determinants of direction and durability.
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Individual Differences in Framing and Conjunction Effects
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Components of probability judgment accuracy: Individual consistency and effects of subject matter and assessment method
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Testing the Internal Consistency of Contingent Valuation Surveys
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Abstract and concrete data in the perseverance of social theories: When weak data lead to unshakeable beliefs
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Physician and Medical Student Bias in Evaluating Diagnostic Information
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Individuation, counting, and statistical inference: The role of frequency and whole-object representations in judgment under uncertainty.
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Least-Squares Adjustment of the Atomic Constants, 1952
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Analysis of Variance of the 1952 Data on the Atomic Constants and a New Adjustment, 1955
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The Effects of Framing, Problem Variations, and Providing Rationale on Choice
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Learning from experience and suboptimal rules in decision making
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Untitled
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A network approach to mental multiplication.
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The Future of World Politics: Will It Resemble the Past?
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Craps and Magic
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Are Most People Happier than their Peers, or Are They Just Happy?
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Incorporating general intelligence into epidemiology and the social sciences
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Biological Approaches to the Study of Human Intelligence
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Taking Behavioralism Seriously: Some Evidence of Market Manipulation
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Structural models for the mediation of salience effects on attribution
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Mood-Related Persuasion Depends on (Mis)Attributions
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Improving negotiation effectiveness under final offer arbitration: The role of selection and training.
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Evidence for the Innateness of Deontic Reasoning
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The Makings of the Magical Mind: The Nature and Function of Sympathetic Magical Thinking
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Adolescent Psychological Development: Rationality, Morality, and Identity
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The Role of Affective Expectations in Subjective Experience and Decision-Making
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Commission, Omission, and Dissonance Reduction: Coping with Regret in the "Monty Hall" Problem
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Counterfactual Thinking and Social Perception: Thinking about What Might Have Been
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Perceived Risk of AIDS: Assessing the Behavioral and Psychosocial Consequences in a Cohort of Gay Men1
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A Critical Review of Philosophical Work on the Units of Selection Problem
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Honey bee foragers as sensory units of their colonies
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Probability Judgment in Medicine
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Cognitive Load and the Equality Heuristic: A Two-Stage Model of Resource Overconsumption in Small Groups
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Developing an intuitive understanding of conservation and contamination: Invisible particles as a plausible mechanism.
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Definite Reference and Mutual Knowledge: Process Models of Common Ground in Comprehension
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Untitled
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Forming Judgments of Attitude Certainty, Intensity, and Importance: The Role of Subjective Experiences
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Untitled
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Overconfidence in estimation: Testing the anchoring-and-adjustment hypothesis
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Focus of attention and causal attributions of actors and observers
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Sample size and the revision of subjective probabilities.
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Misunderstandings in human relations: a study in false social perception.
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Beliefs about Overconfidence, Including Its Cross-National Variation
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The g-ocentric View of Intelligence and Job Performance Is Wrong
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Psychometrics, intelligence, and public perception
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Deciding before you think: Relevance and reasoning in the selection task
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Who Uses the Cost-Benefit Rules of Choice? Implications for the Normative Status of Microeconomic Theory
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Modeling the Societal Impact of Fatal Accidents
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Intelligence and ‘Inspection Time’
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Evaluation, Diagnosis, and Prediction in Parole Decision Making
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Nonunique Invulnerability: Singular versus Distributional Probabilities and Unrealistic Optimism in Comparative Risk Judgments
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Domain-specific rationality in human choices: violations of utility axioms and social contexts
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From the Descriptive to the Normative in Psychology and Logic
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Status Evaluation in the Hindu Caste System
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Least-Squares Adjusted Values of the Atomic Constants as of December, 1950
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Correlations, causes and heuristics in surveys of life satisfaction
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The Representativeness Heuristic and the Conjunction Fallacy Effect in Children's Decision Making.
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The Covariance Decomposition of the Probability Score and Its Use in Evaluating Prognostic Estimates
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Evolution, Culture, and the Five-Factor Model
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Use of the availability heuristic in probability estimates of future events: The effects of imagining outcomes versus imagining reasons
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Why Existence Value Should Be Used in Cost-Benefit Analysis
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A second look at the utility of radiographic skull examination for trauma
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Against all Odds: Holocaust Survivors and the Successful Lives They Made in America.
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A Study of Economists' Consensus Forecasts
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Cognitive Accommodation, Language, and Social Responsibility
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Physicians' Survival Predictions for Patients With Acute Congestive Heart Failure
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Lifelines : biology beyond determinism
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Deleted Work
1955 • 0 citations