The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making.

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1975 • 23,866 citations

Financial Ratios As Predictors of Failure

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Linear models in decision making.

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Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment

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Confidence in judgment: Persistence of the illusion of validity.

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A Discriminant Analysis of Predictors of Business Failure

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How to Use Multiattribute Utility Measurement for Social Decisionmaking

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Skill in Chess

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The paramorphic representation of clinical judgment.

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Cognition and Social Behavior

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Man versus model of man: A rationale, plus some evidence, for a method of improving on clinical inferences.

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Measurement and prediction, clinical and statistical.

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A case study of graduate admissions: Application of three principles of human decision making.

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Probabilistic functioning and the clinical method.

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Expert measurement and mechanical combination

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Consistency and Optimality in Managerial Decision Making

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Diagnosticians vs. diagnostic signs: The diagnosis of psychosis vs. neurosis from the MMPI.

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Weighting systems for linear functions of correlated variables when there is no dependent variable

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The Relative Efficiency of Regression and Simple Unit Predictor Weights in Applied Differential Psychology

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Science, Values, and Human Judgment

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Man-Computer Cooperation in Decisions Requiring Common Sense

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Yet another look at clinical and statistical prediction: Or, is clinical psychology worthwhile?

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Three steps towards robust regression

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Costs and payoffs in perceptual research.

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Man versus model of man: some conflicting evidence

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Man versus model of man revisited: The forecasting of graduate school success.

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Measurement Structures and Psychological Laws

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PUBLIC VALUES: MULTIATTRIBUTE-UTILITY MEASUREMENT FOR SOCIAL DECISION MAKING

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Graduate Admission Variables and Future Success

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Seer over sign: The first good example.

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Parameters of personality inventory construction and utilization: A comparison of prediction strategies and tactics.

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Parameter Sensitivity In Multivariate Methods

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What is in the Corn Judge's Mind?¹

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A Comparison of Five Variable Weighting Procedures

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Linear Prediction of Marital Happinessl

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Man versus model of man: just how conflicting is that evidence?

1976 • 52 citations

Toward a Linear Prediction Model of Marital Happiness

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Marriage: Direct and continuous measurement

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Three Steps Toward Robust Regression.

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Unit And Random Linear Models In Decision Making

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Technology for Director Dubious: Evaluation and Decision in Public Contexts

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