Hypothesis generation and confidence in judgment.

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1975 • 23,866 citations

On the psychology of prediction.

1973 • 6,028 citations

Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness

1972 • 4,401 citations

Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning and Memory

1977 • 4,043 citations

Measures of Association for Cross Classifications

1979 • 2,263 citations

The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence

1992 • 1,844 citations

Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980

1982 • 1,842 citations

Reasons for confidence.

1980 • 1,378 citations

Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.

1994 • 1,100 citations

Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?

1977 • 1,075 citations

Overconfidence in case-study judgments.

1965 • 1,039 citations

Perseverance of social theories: The role of explanation in the persistence of discredited information.

1980 • 701 citations

Fault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation.

1978 • 693 citations

Explanation, imagination, and confidence in judgment.

1991 • 535 citations

Counterfactual reasoning and accuracy in predicting personal events.

1985 • 387 citations

Training for calibration

1980 • 375 citations

Norms of 300 general-information questions: Accuracy of recall, latency of recall, and feeling-of-knowing ratings

1980 • 341 citations

Social explanation and social expectation: Effects of real and hypothetical explanations on subjective likelihood.

1977 • 314 citations

Measures of Association for Cross Classifications. II: Further Discussion and References

1979 • 261 citations

Confidence, uncertainty, and the use of information.

1988 • 260 citations

Components of probability judgment accuracy: Individual consistency and effects of subject matter and assessment method

1987 • 232 citations

The effect of choosing on confidence in choice

1990 • 228 citations

Social explanation: The role of timing, set, and recall on subjective likelihood estimates.

1983 • 207 citations

The role of construal processes in overconfident predictions about the self and others.

1990 • 183 citations

Measures of discrimination skill in probabilistic judgment.

1991 • 168 citations

Hypothesis plausibility and hypothesis generation

1979 • 142 citations

Plausibility assessments in hypothesis generation

1986 • 126 citations

The availability explanation of excessive plausibility assessments

1981 • 123 citations

A comparison of three predictors of an individual's memory performance: The individual's feeling of knowing versus the normative feeling of knowing versus base-rate item difficulty.

1986 • 118 citations

On the evaluation of probability judgments: Calibration, resolution, and monotonicity.

1993 • 92 citations

Consistency checking in hypothesis generation

1983 • 37 citations

How to prepare for the Miller analogies test

1981 • 11 citations