Tests of rationality versus an “over optimist” bias

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1975 • 23,866 citations

The Role of Monetary Policy

1995 • 4,093 citations

Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases

1982 • 3,614 citations

Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs.

1973 • 2,466 citations

Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980

1982 • 1,842 citations

Manias, Panics and Crashes

1978 • 1,664 citations

Reasons for confidence.

1980 • 1,378 citations

Equilibrium Incentives in Oligopoly

1987 • 1,320 citations

Economics of Worldwide Stagflation

1985 • 1,294 citations

Intuitive prediction: Biases and corrective procedures

1982 • 1,113 citations

What Is New-Keynesian Economics?

1991 • 449 citations

The pricing of bonds and bank loans in international markets

1986 • 262 citations

The effect of choosing on confidence in choice

1990 • 228 citations

Credit Rationing and Effective Supply Failures

1987 • 216 citations

A model of calibration for subjective probabilities

1980 • 201 citations

On the social psychology of the stock market: Aggregate attributional effects and the regressiveness of prediction.

1987 • 154 citations

Capital markets and economic fluctuations in capitalist economies

1992 • 137 citations

Formation of Inflation Expectations in British Manufacturing Industries

1985 • 106 citations

Inflation expectations: the use of qualitative survey data

1977 • 51 citations

Quantitative versus qualitative measures of price expectations: The evidence from Australian consumer surveys

1979 • 28 citations

The formation of production expectations in manufacturing industry for nine industrialized countries

1993 • 9 citations

Main Economic Indicators - Sources and Methods

2005 • 6 citations

Formation of production expectations under risk

1991 • 2 citations