Expectation-outcome consistency and hindsight bias

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1974 • 24,440 citations

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1975 • 23,866 citations

Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases

1982 • 3,614 citations

From Acts To Dispositions The Attribution Process In Person Perception

1965 • 3,336 citations

Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.

1975 • 1,702 citations

Negativity and extremity biases in impression formation: A review of explanations.

1989 • 1,426 citations

Attention and weight in person perception: The impact of negative and extreme behavior.

1980 • 1,421 citations

The Relationship Between Organizational Structure and Organizational Control

1977 • 1,116 citations

Hindsight-foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.

1974 • 836 citations

Perseverance in self-perception and social perception: Biased attributional processes in the debriefing paradigm.

1975 • 827 citations

Expectancy confirmation processes arising in the social interaction sequence.

1980 • 814 citations

Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known.

1990 • 814 citations

Decision Analysis: Practice and Promise

1988 • 753 citations

The Curse of Knowledge in Economic Settings: An Experimental Analysis

1989 • 728 citations

Person memory: Personality traits as organizing principles in memory for behaviors.

1979 • 728 citations

Perseverance in self-perception and social perception: Biased attributional processes in the debriefing paradigm.

1975 • 701 citations

I knew it would happen

1975 • 695 citations

Attribution and the unit of perception of ongoing behavior.

1973 • 620 citations

Outcome bias in decision evaluation.

1988 • 598 citations

Outcome bias in decision evaluation.

1988 • 563 citations

An Attribution Explanation of the Disproportionate Influence of Unfavorable Information

1982 • 548 citations

On the psychology of experimental surprises.

1977 • 480 citations

The person-positivity bias.

1983 • 447 citations

A cognitive view of the performance appraisal process: A model and research propositions

1984 • 447 citations

Ubiquitous halo.

1981 • 407 citations

Perceived informativeness of facts.

1977 • 390 citations

Role of disconfirmed expectancies in the instigation of attributional processing.

1981 • 384 citations

Eliminating the hindsight bias.

1988 • 351 citations

Hindsight bias among physicians weighing the likelihood of diagnoses.

1981 • 320 citations

The knew-it-all-along effect.

1978 • 281 citations

Cognitive processes in preference reversals

1989 • 278 citations

Bias in Utility Assessments: Further Evidence and Explanations

1989 • 254 citations

Outcome feedback: Hindsight and information.

1989 • 163 citations

Motivational interpretations of hindsight bias: An individual difference analysis

1983 • 155 citations

The transparency of denial: Briefing in the debriefing paradigm.

1985 • 134 citations

Effects of outcome knowledge and outcome valence on supervisors' evaluations.

1981 • 134 citations

How mental systems believe.

1991 • 128 citations

Hindsight and Causality

1991 • 126 citations

HINDSIGHT BIAS AND STRATEGIC CHOICE: SOME PROBLEMS IN LEARNING FROM EXPERIENCE.

1988 • 120 citations

Effects of previous performance on evaluations of present performance.

1985 • 119 citations

I knew it all along: or, did I?

1981 • 111 citations

A Test of the Knew‐It‐All‐Along Effect in the 1984 Presidential and Statewide Elections¹

1988 • 101 citations

What constitutes ‘a good decision’?

1984 • 96 citations

Outcome feedback: Hindsight and information.

1989 • 81 citations

Effects of Prior Expectations on Performance Ratings: A Longitudinal Study

1987 • 58 citations

EFFECTS OF PRIOR EXPECTATIONS ON PERFORMANCE RATINGS: A LONGITUDINAL STUDY.

1987 • 50 citations

The impact of performance cues on leader-behavior ratings: The role of selective information availability and probabilistic response bias

1984 • 46 citations

The effect of temporal setting on likelihood estimates

1976 • 36 citations

How to Make Good Decisions

2010 • 8 citations