Who commits the base rate fallacy?

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

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Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

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Logic and Conversation

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A Mathematical Theory of Evidence

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A Mathematical Theory of Evidence

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Fuzzy sets as a basis for a theory of possibility

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Fuzzy sets as a basis for a theory of possibility

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FOUNDATIONS OF STATISTICS

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On the psychology of prediction.

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Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.

1984 • 5,967 citations

Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness

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Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment.

1983 • 4,358 citations

Fact, Fiction, and Forecast.

1955 • 4,292 citations

Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.

1983 • 3,840 citations

Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases

1982 • 3,614 citations

Book Review Nisbett, R. , & Ross, L.Human inference: Strategies and shortcomings of social judgment.Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1980.

1982 • 2,944 citations

Philosophical Writings of Peirce

1955 • 2,730 citations

TRUTH AND OTHER ENIGMAS

1979 • 1,857 citations

Behavioral Decision Theory: Processes of Judgement and Choice

1981 • 1,684 citations

Introduction to Logical Theory.

1953 • 1,485 citations

Can human irrationality be experimentally demonstrated?

1981 • 1,204 citations

Confidence in judgment: Persistence of the illusion of validity.

1978 • 1,174 citations

Cognitive Processes in Comprehension

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Wide Reflective Equilibrium and Theory Acceptance in Ethics

1979 • 1,044 citations

The Collected Papers of Gerhard Gentzen

1969 • 1,018 citations

Illusory correlation as an obstacle to the use of valid psychodiagnostic signs.

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Thinking; Readings in Cognitive Science

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Truth and other enigmas

1978 • 859 citations

Essays on the Intellectual Powers of Man

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Conservatism in a simple probability inference task.

1966 • 834 citations

Perseverance in self-perception and social perception: Biased attributional processes in the debriefing paradigm.

1975 • 827 citations

The nature of hemispheric specialization in man

1981 • 756 citations

Interpretation by Physicians of Clinical Laboratory Results

1978 • 738 citations

Social cognitive development : frontiers and possible futures

1981 • 735 citations

Perseverance in self-perception and social perception: Biased attributional processes in the debriefing paradigm.

1975 • 701 citations

Freedom and reason

1963 • 699 citations

Investigations into Logical Deduction

1964 • 682 citations

The trilogy of mind: Cognition, affection, and conation

1980 • 673 citations

Cognition and Social Behavior

2014 • 664 citations

The Claim to Moral Adequacy of a Highest Stage of Moral Judgment

1973 • 661 citations

The Probable and The Provable

1977 • 655 citations

Cognition and Social Behavior

1978 • 630 citations

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1978 • 585 citations

MORAL DEVELOPMENT AND BEHAVIOR

1992 • 560 citations

Minds, Machines and Gödel

1961 • 543 citations

Henry E. KyburgJr. , Probability and the logic of rational belief. Wesleyan University Press, Middletown, Conn., 1961, x + 350 pp.

1970 • 540 citations

On the relation between logic and thinking.

1962 • 521 citations

The Independence of Moral Theory

1974 • 518 citations

The probable and the provable

1977 • 478 citations

Studies in Subjective Probability

1966 • 477 citations

Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.

1983 • 391 citations

An atmosphere effect in formal syllogistic reasoning.

1935 • 388 citations

Dominance of accuracy information and neglect of base rates in probability estimation

1976 • 380 citations

Cognitive psychology as ideology.

1981 • 368 citations

Problems and projects

1972 • 365 citations

The Logical Foundations of Statistical Interference

1974 • 340 citations

The Logical Foundations of Statistical Inference.

1977 • 334 citations

Studies in Subjective Probability.

1966 • 330 citations

On the psychology of prediction: Whose is the fallacy?

1979 • 313 citations

The psychology of syllogisms

1978 • 282 citations

Epistemics: The Regulative Theory of Cognition

1978 • 257 citations

Reasoning: Representation and Process

2015 • 240 citations

Moral Development Research

1974 • 230 citations

On Scientific Thinking

1981 • 206 citations

Lindley's Paradox

1982 • 191 citations

Pseudodiagnosticity

1979 • 179 citations

Are People Programmed to Commit Fallacies? Further Thoughts about the Interpretation of Experimental Data on Probability Judgment

1982 • 175 citations

Scientific explanation

1982 • 169 citations

Logical Abilities in Children

2021 • 169 citations

Basic Problems in Methodology and Linguistics

1977 • 168 citations

Induction, Acceptance and Rational Belief

1970 • 168 citations

The belief-bias effect in formal reasoning: The influence of knowledge on logic

1980 • 166 citations

Constructive probability

1981 • 160 citations

The logic of grammar

1975 • 159 citations

The role of sample size in sample evaluation

1979 • 145 citations

Two models of syllogistic reasoning: Feature selection and conversion

1975 • 140 citations

THE IMPLICATIONS OF INDUCTION

1971 • 137 citations

The Justification of Deduction

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Gambling with Truth: An Essay on Induction and the Aims of Science

1968 • 134 citations

Fallacies and the Evaluation of Reasoning

1981 • 129 citations

The Implications of Induction

2019 • 118 citations

Variants of uncertainty

1982 • 118 citations

The interpretation of universal affirmative propositions

1978 • 114 citations

Minimal Rationality

1981 • 112 citations

Who shall be the arbiter of our intuitions?

1981 • 109 citations

Why I am not an objective Bayesian; some reflections prompted by Rosenkrantz

1979 • 108 citations

Sources of error in syllogistic reasoning

1971 • 106 citations

Gambling with Truth: An Essay on Induction and the Aims of Science.

1969 • 105 citations

Direct Inference

1977 • 104 citations

“Is” and “ought” in cognitive science

1981 • 94 citations

Reasoning with conditional sentences

1971 • 87 citations

On some methods of ethics and linguistics

1980 • 85 citations

Improving inductive inference

1982 • 81 citations

Psychologism*

1978 • 80 citations

On the study of statistical intuitions

1982 • 72 citations

Suppositions and the analysis of conditional sentences

1978 • 63 citations

Reasoning and Explanatory Coherence

1980 • 60 citations

The diversity of meaning

1963 • 59 citations

Should Bayesians sometimes neglect base rates?

1981 • 58 citations

Are there any a priori constraints on the study of rationality?

1981 • 58 citations

L. J. Cohen versus Bayesianism

1981 • 57 citations

Improvements in human reasoning and an error in L. J. Cohen's

1981 • 55 citations

A formal system for fuzzy reasoning

1979 • 54 citations

Inferential competence: right you are, if you think you are

1981 • 54 citations

Effects of instructions and premise order on errors in syllogistic reasoning.

1975 • 53 citations

On the problems of interpreting reasoning data: Logical and psychological approaches

1972 • 53 citations

The effect of personal biases on syllogistic reasoning: Rational decisions from personalized representations

1978 • 52 citations

Quantifiers and Question-Asking

1976 • 51 citations

Randomness and the Right Reference Class

1977 • 45 citations

The persistence of cognitive illusions

1981 • 44 citations

Models of Man.

1958 • 43 citations

Fairness in Children: A Social-Cognitive Approach to the Study of Moral Development

1982 • 41 citations

Symmetry and Transitivity Assumptions about a Nonspecified Logical Relation

1977 • 31 citations

Causal Thinking in Judgment under Uncertainty

1977 • 31 citations

Category relations and syllogistic reasoning.

1978 • 27 citations

Understanding quantified categorical expressions

1980 • 27 citations

Thinking

1978 • 26 citations

Effects of instructions and premise order on errors in syllogistic reasoning.

1975 • 25 citations

L. J. Cohen, again: On the evaluation of inductive intuitions

1981 • 22 citations

On defining rationality unreasonably

1981 • 22 citations

Intuition, competence, and performance

1981 • 19 citations

Rational animal?

1981 • 19 citations

Propensity, evidence, and diagnosis

1981 • 19 citations

Conversion Errors in Processing Artificial Set Inclusions

1980 • 18 citations

The irrational, the unreasonable, and the wrong

1981 • 18 citations

Conditional probability, taxicabs, and martingales

1981 • 17 citations

Cohen on contraposition

1981 • 16 citations

Status of the rationality assumption in psychology

1981 • 16 citations

Isaac Newton's two uses of hypothetical reasoning: dual influences on the history of psychology.

1980 • 15 citations

Unphilosophical probability

1981 • 15 citations

Deleted Work

1955 • 0 citations