Reliability of Subjective Probability Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature

VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY

1950 • 4,617 citations

Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty.

1969 • 1,953 citations

Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations

1971 • 1,100 citations

The Quantification of Judgment: Some Methodological Suggestions

1967 • 192 citations

Scalar and Vector Partitions of the Probability Score: Part I. Two-State Situation

1972 • 121 citations

Skill In Forecasting Daily Temperature and Precipitation: Some Experimental Results

1973 • 60 citations

Credible Interval Temperature Forecasting: Some Experimental Results

1974 • 55 citations

Reliability of Subjective Evaluations in a High Incentive Situation

1974 • 54 citations

The Use of Credible Intervals in Temperature Forecasting: Some Experimental Results

1977 • 10 citations