Comparing the Calibration and Coherence of Numerical and Verbal Probability Judgments

The concept of a linguistic variable and its application to approximate reasoning-III

1975 • 12,321 citations

VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY

1950 • 4,617 citations

Decision analysis and behavioral research

1986 • 3,043 citations

Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980

1982 • 1,842 citations

A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score

1973 • 1,004 citations

A review of some methods for ranking fuzzy subsets

1985 • 953 citations

Calibration and probability judgements: Conceptual and methodological issues

1991 • 543 citations

How probable is probable? A numerical translation of verbal probability expressions

1982 • 522 citations

Measuring the vague meanings of probability terms.

1986 • 493 citations

External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score

1982 • 427 citations

Reliability of Subjective Probability Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature

1977 • 375 citations

Insights in Decision Making

1990 • 350 citations

Consistency in interpretation of probabilistic phrases

1985 • 311 citations

Magnitude estimations of expressions of frequency and amount.

1974 • 286 citations

Preferences and reasons for communicating probabilistic information in verbal or numerical terms

1993 • 276 citations

Subjective confidence in forecasts

1982 • 237 citations

Verbal versus numerical probabilities: Efficiency, biases, and the preference paradox

1990 • 233 citations

Components of probability judgment accuracy: Individual consistency and effects of subject matter and assessment method

1987 • 232 citations

Decisions based on numerically and verbally expressed uncertainties.

1988 • 227 citations

Base rate effects on the interpretations of probability and frequency expressions

1986 • 219 citations

On Subjective Probability Forecasting

1963 • 216 citations

Quantifying Probabilistic Expressions

1990 • 182 citations

Selection of verbal probabilities: A solution for some problems of verbal probability expression

1991 • 138 citations

Verbal Vs. Numerical Processing of Subjective Probabilities

1983 • 126 citations

A model for the interpretation of verbal predictions

1984 • 91 citations

A note on probabilities of fuzzy events

1979 • 91 citations

Alternatives to Bayes?

1980 • 75 citations

Dyadic decisions with numerical and verbal probabilities

1990 • 73 citations

Measurement of subjective probability

1970 • 73 citations

Direct and indirect scaling of membership functions of probability phrases

1987 • 63 citations

When are low-probability events judged to be ‘probable’? Effects of outcome-set characteristics on verbal probability estimates

1988 • 54 citations

Subjective Prior Probability Distributions and Audit Risk

1985 • 50 citations

Subjective estimation of precise and vague uncertainties.

1987 • 50 citations

Timed magnitude comparisons of numerical and nonnumerical expressions of uncertainty

1989 • 48 citations

Changes in the realism and distribution of probability assessments as a function of question type

1982 • 47 citations

Revision of opinion with verbally and numerically expressed uncertainties

1990 • 44 citations

Using conjoint-measurement models to investigate a theory about probabilistic information processing

1976 • 37 citations

Effects of probability mode on preference reversal.

1992 • 36 citations

Measuring Vague Uncertainties and Understanding Their Use in Decision Making

1990 • 35 citations

Do Decision Quality and Preference Order Depend on Whether Probabilities Are Verbal or Numerical?

1994 • 33 citations

Numerical encoding of qualitative expressions of uncertainty.

1973 • 32 citations

Reasoning with imprecise knowledge in expert systems

1985 • 25 citations

Combining stochastic uncertainty and linguistic inexactness: theory and experimental evaluation of four fuzzy probability models

1990 • 21 citations

The expected value of frequency calibration

1990 • 6 citations