The hindsight bias: A meta-analysis

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1975 • 23,866 citations

Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases

1982 • 3,614 citations

Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980

1982 • 1,842 citations

Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.

1975 • 1,702 citations

A simple, general purpose display of magnitude of experimental effect.

1982 • 926 citations

A simple, general purpose display of magnitude of experimental effect.

1982 • 885 citations

Hindsight-foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.

1974 • 836 citations

Errors and mistakes: Evaluating the accuracy of social judgment.

1987 • 829 citations

I knew it would happen

1975 • 695 citations

Perceived informativeness of facts.

1977 • 390 citations

For those condemned to study the past: Heuristics and biases in hindsight

1982 • 377 citations

Decision making under uncertainty

1984 • 298 citations

The knew-it-all-along effect.

1978 • 281 citations

Impediments to accurate clinical judgment and possible ways to minimize their impact.

1981 • 270 citations

Impediments to accurate clinical judgment and possible ways to minimize their impact.

1981 • 241 citations

Experience and the base-rate fallacy

1982 • 240 citations

The citation bias: Fad and fashion in the judgment and decision literature.

1984 • 169 citations

Outcome feedback: Hindsight and information.

1989 • 163 citations

Motivational interpretations of hindsight bias: An individual difference analysis

1983 • 155 citations

Cognitive biases in blaming the victim

1985 • 120 citations

HINDSIGHT BIAS AND STRATEGIC CHOICE: SOME PROBLEMS IN LEARNING FROM EXPERIENCE.

1988 • 120 citations

Hindsight Bias: An Impediment to Accurate Probability Estimation in Clinicopathologic Conferences

1988 • 82 citations

Outcome feedback: Hindsight and information.

1989 • 81 citations

“I could never have expected it to happen”: The reversal of the hindsight bias

1990 • 67 citations

Individual differences in reverse Hindsight bias: I never thought something like chernobyl would happen. Did I?

1988 • 62 citations

Cognitions, Attitudes and Decision‐Making in Search and Seizure Cases ¹

1988 • 50 citations

Hindsight Bias: Self‐Flattery or Cognitive Error?

1990 • 39 citations

The Theoretical Status of Judgmental Heuristics

1983 • 37 citations

A Theoretical Perspective on Heuristics and Biases in Probabilistic Thinking

1983 • 34 citations

IX. How do we measure “safety and efficacy“?

1971 • 16 citations

On the Significance of Judgment Studies

1988 • 7 citations