Conditional distribution analyses of probabilistic forecasts

VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY

1950 • 4,617 citations

Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980

1982 • 1,842 citations

Applied Economic Forecasting

1967 • 1,293 citations

Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?

1977 • 1,075 citations

A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score

1973 • 1,004 citations

Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision.

1974 • 472 citations

External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score

1982 • 427 citations

Reliability of Subjective Probability Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature

1977 • 375 citations

Physicians' use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting.

1981 • 345 citations

Subjective confidence in forecasts

1982 • 237 citations

Physicians' use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting.

1981 • 227 citations

On Subjective Probability Forecasting

1963 • 216 citations

Applied Economic Forecasting

1967 • 199 citations

Scoring rules in probability assessment and evaluation

1970 • 158 citations

Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision

1973 • 129 citations

Scalar and Vector Partitions of the Probability Score: Part I. Two-State Situation

1972 • 121 citations

Distribution of probability assessments for almanac and future event questions

1982 • 109 citations

THE ECONOMIC UTILITY OF WEATHER FORECASTS

1955 • 87 citations

Verification of Probabilistic Predictions: A Brief Review

1967 • 65 citations

The Improvement of Probability Judgements

1982 • 63 citations

Skill In Forecasting Daily Temperature and Precipitation: Some Experimental Results

1973 • 60 citations

Reliability of Subjective Evaluations in a High Incentive Situation

1974 • 54 citations

Changes in the realism and distribution of probability assessments as a function of question type

1982 • 47 citations

Scalar and Vector Partitions of the Probability Score: Part II.N-State Situation

1972 • 46 citations

A Sample Skill Score for Probability Forecasts

1974 • 26 citations

A signal detection framework for the evaluation of probabilistic forecasts

1985 • 23 citations

Readings in Decision Analysis

1991 • 8 citations

Applied Meteorology

1957 • 3 citations