Changes in the realism and distribution of probability assessments as a function of question type

Reasons for confidence.

1980 • 1,378 citations

Knowing with certainty: The appropriateness of extreme confidence.

1977 • 1,366 citations

Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?

1977 • 1,075 citations

A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score

1973 • 1,004 citations

Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art

1977 • 465 citations

Training for calibration

1980 • 375 citations

Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs

1977 • 221 citations

Cultural Differences in Viewing Uncertainty and Assessing Probabilities

1977 • 144 citations

Bayesian Statistics for Social Scientists.

1975 • 133 citations

Distribution of probability assessments for almanac and future event questions

1982 • 109 citations

Bayesian Statistics for Social Scientists.

1974 • 90 citations

Personality and probabilistic thinking: An exploratory study

1979 • 37 citations

The effect of temporal setting on likelihood estimates

1976 • 36 citations

Subjective probability estimates and confidence ratings.

1969 • 16 citations

Cultural and Task Influences on Decision Making Under Uncertainty

1981 • 4 citations