Factors affecting judgmental forecasts and confidence intervals
Data up to Jan 2025
Total Citations Per Year
Abstract
References (38)
Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
1983 • 3,931 citations
Forecasting methods and applications
1993 • 2,530 citations
Attention and Performance Viii
2014 • 1,845 citations
Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980
1982 • 1,842 citations
The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition
1982 • 1,444 citations
Contingent decision behavior.
1982 • 871 citations
A progress report on the training of probability assessors
1982 • 837 citations
Forecasting and Planning: An Evaluation
1981 • 616 citations
A case study of graduate admissions: Application of three principles of human decision making.
1971 • 574 citations
Forecasting Trends in Time Series
1985 • 388 citations
Long Range Forecasting (From Crystal Ball to Computer).
1981 • 380 citations
Reliability of Subjective Probability Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature
1977 • 375 citations
COMPUTER GRAPHICS AS DECISION AIDS: DIRECTIONS FOR RESEARCH*
1984 • 337 citations
Research in Management Information Systems: The Minnesota Experiments
1977 • 331 citations
Misperception of exponential growth
1975 • 293 citations
Sales forecasting practices
1987 • 281 citations
Familiarity, application, and performance of sales forecasting techniques
1984 • 216 citations
General conditions for the success of bootstrapping models
1981 • 212 citations
The Accuracy of Combining Judgemental and Statistical Forecasts
1986 • 181 citations
Analysing and Aiding Decision Processes
1983 • 157 citations
An examination of the accuracy of judgmental extrapolation of time series
1985 • 152 citations
An Empirical Investigation of the Impact of Graphical and Tabular Data Presentations on Decision Making
1984 • 148 citations
Intuitive Time-Series Extrapolation
1982 • 143 citations
Calibration of auditors' probabilistic judgments: Some empirical evidence
1982 • 109 citations
The Review Process and the Accuracy of Auditor Judgments
1985 • 101 citations
Comparing for Different Time Series Methods the Value of Technical Expertise Individualized Analysis, and Judgmental Adjustment
1983 • 79 citations
Subjects’ ability to use functional rules
1971 • 78 citations
Human Judgment Accuracy, Multidimensional Graphics, and Humans Versus Models
1984 • 74 citations
Intuitive inference strategies in interval learning tasks as a function of validity magnitude and sign
1968 • 70 citations
An exploration of some practical issues in the use of quantitative forecasting models
1983 • 63 citations
Eye Fitting Straight Lines
1981 • 56 citations
Management Judgment Forecasts, Composite Forecasting Models, and Conditional Efficiency
1984 • 48 citations
Contextual effects on the calibration of probabilistic judgments.
1985 • 33 citations
Forecasting accuracy and the assumption of constancy
1981 • 21 citations
Management Judgment Forecasts, Composite Forecasting Models, and Conditional Efficiency
1984 • 20 citations
Eye Fitting Straight Lines
1981 • 18 citations
Subjects' ability to find the parameters of functional rules in probabilistic inference tasks
1976 • 15 citations
Deleted Work
1955 • 0 citations