Prediction and postdiction preferences in guessing

Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms

1961 • 7,563 citations

Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980

1982 • 1,842 citations

The Emergence of Probability.

1976 • 1,142 citations

Ambiguity and uncertainty in probabilistic inference.

1985 • 775 citations

Variants of uncertainty

1982 • 734 citations

Ambiguity and rationality

1988 • 453 citations

Subjective confidence in forecasts

1982 • 237 citations

Components of probability judgment accuracy: Individual consistency and effects of subject matter and assessment method

1987 • 232 citations

Does The Expert Know? The Reliability of Predictions and Confidence Ratings of Experts

1986 • 159 citations

Temporal orientation and perceived control as determinants of risk-taking

1966 • 159 citations

The Psychology of Chance*

1977 • 118 citations

Distribution of probability assessments for almanac and future event questions

1982 • 109 citations

Confidence in the prediction and postdiction of an uncertain outcome.

1970 • 102 citations

Changes in the realism and distribution of probability assessments as a function of question type

1982 • 47 citations

To be convincing or to be right: A question of preciseness

1990 • 34 citations