The Theoretical Status of Judgmental Heuristics

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1974 • 24,440 citations

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1975 • 23,866 citations

Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability

1973 • 9,346 citations

On the psychology of prediction.

1973 • 6,028 citations

Categorization and Representation of Physics Problems by Experts and Novices*

1981 • 5,132 citations

Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness

1972 • 4,401 citations

Belief in the law of small numbers.

1971 • 3,177 citations

FORMING IMPRESSIONS OF PERSONALITY

1961 • 2,065 citations

Can human irrationality be experimentally demonstrated?

1981 • 1,204 citations

The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments

1980 • 1,132 citations

On the study of statistical intuitions

1982 • 682 citations

Cognition and Social Behavior

2014 • 664 citations

Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty

1982 • 617 citations

The Differential Impact of Abstract vs. Concrete Information on Decisions¹

1977 • 525 citations

Confirmation Bias in a Simulated Research Environment: An Experimental Study of Scientific Inference

1977 • 518 citations

Natural and contrived experience in a reasoning problem

1971 • 442 citations

Information-Processing Theory of Human Problem Solving

2014 • 353 citations

Physicians' use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting.

1981 • 345 citations

On the psychology of prediction: Whose is the fallacy?

1979 • 313 citations

Effects of concomitant verbal recall on order effects in personality impression formation

1963 • 309 citations

Popular induction: Information is not necessarily informative

1982 • 288 citations

Stated Expectations as Functions of Probability and Desirability of Outcomes

1953 • 282 citations

Experience and the base-rate fallacy

1982 • 240 citations

Base rates can affect individual predictions.

1980 • 238 citations

Physician and Medical Student Bias in Evaluating Diagnostic Information

1981 • 231 citations

Physicians' use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting.

1981 • 227 citations

Subjective sensitivity analysis

1979 • 188 citations

Primacy effects in personality impression formation.

1961 • 187 citations

Constructive probability

1981 • 160 citations

A CONFLICT BETWEEN SELECTING AND EVALUATING INFORMATION IN AN INFERENTIAL TASK

1970 • 154 citations

The role of sample size in sample evaluation

1979 • 145 citations

The effects of experience on performance in Wason’s selection task

1982 • 140 citations

Some apparent violations of the representativeness heuristic in human judgment.

1976 • 130 citations

Processing probabilistic multidimensional information for decisions.

1982 • 116 citations

Multimethod study of clinical judgment

1982 • 73 citations

Proportionality and sample size as factors in intuitive statistical judgement

1977 • 69 citations

Using conjoint-measurement models to investigate a theory about probabilistic information processing

1976 • 37 citations

Strategies for the use of base-rate information

1977 • 37 citations

Effects of independent and dependent outcome values upon bets.

1966 • 35 citations

Probabilistic information processing: Effects of a biased payoff matrix on choices and bids

1977 • 7 citations