Probability Assessment by Individual Auditors and Audit Teams: An Empirical Investigation

An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts

1963 • 5,329 citations

The group polarization phenomenon.

1976 • 1,042 citations

Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis

1975 • 670 citations

Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision.

1974 • 472 citations

Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art

1977 • 465 citations

Nominal Versus Interacting Group Processes for Committee Decision-Making Effectiveness.

1971 • 443 citations

A comparative study of differences in subjective likelihood estimates made by individuals, interacting groups, Delphi groups, and nominal groups

1973 • 373 citations

The Consensus of Subjective Probability Distributions

1968 • 369 citations

The Assessment of Prior Distributions in Bayesian Analysis

1967 • 351 citations

Expert judgment: Some necessary conditions and an example.

1974 • 335 citations

The Logical Foundations of Statistical Inference.

1977 • 334 citations

A survey of studies contrasting the quality of group performance and individual performance, 1920-1957.

1958 • 302 citations

Quality of group judgment.

1977 • 271 citations

Performance of a composite as a function of the number of judges

1978 • 199 citations

Assessment and evaluation of subjective probability distributions

1970 • 108 citations

Eliciting subjective probability distributions on continuous variables

1978 • 105 citations

Individual versus group problem solving in an industrial sample.

1968 • 92 citations

The consequences of social interaction in group problem solving

1969 • 92 citations

Organizational Decision Making.

1972 • 64 citations

Expert judgment about uncertainty: Bayesian decision making in realistic settings

1975 • 64 citations

Group Problem Solving Effectiveness under Conditions of Pooling vs. Interaction

1963 • 60 citations

Relationships between leader behaviors and audit team performance

1981 • 58 citations

The assessment of subjective probability distributions: A training experiment

1973 • 49 citations

The external audit

1977 • 44 citations

Statistical analysis for administrative decisions

1979 • 37 citations

Auditors' prior probability distributions for account balances

1982 • 15 citations

Aggregating prior probability distributions for audit decision making

1979 • 1 citations