Explaining Presidential Popularity: How Ad Hoc Theorizing, Misplaced Emphasis, and Insufficient Care in Measuring One's Variables Refuted Common Sense and Led Conventional Wisdom Down the Path of Anomalies

An Economic Theory of Democracy.

1958 • 19,036 citations

Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896–1964

1971 • 1,606 citations

War, Presidents and Public Opinion

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Presidential Popularity from Truman to Johnson

1970 • 1,175 citations

Statistical Methods of Econometrics

1970 • 828 citations

Determinants of the Outcomes of Midterm Congressional Elections

1975 • 789 citations

Voter Response to Short-Run Economic Conditions: the Asymmetric Effect of Prosperity and Recession

1975 • 460 citations

Presidential Popularity and Negative Voting: An Alternative Explanation of the Midterm Congressional Decline of the President's Party

1977 • 363 citations

Public Support for American Presidents: A Cyclical Model

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Problems of Statistical Estimation and Causal Inference in Time-Series Regression Models

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The Mass Consumption Society.

1965 • 154 citations

Presidential Character

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Perspectives on the Presidency

1975 • 137 citations

Public Opinion and the War in Vietnam

1967 • 134 citations

Presidential Influence in the House: Presidential Prestige as a Source of Presidential Power

1976 • 81 citations

Congress and the Presidency

1965 • 66 citations

The Impact of Economic Conditions on Presidential Popularity

1977 • 66 citations

The Mass Consumption Society

1965 • 61 citations

Children and the Death of a President.

1966 • 40 citations

A Note on the ‘Equilibrium’ Division of the Vote

1971 • 28 citations

The Truman Doctrine Speech: A Case Study of the Dynamics of Presidential Opinion Leadership

1976 • 18 citations

Impressions of personality, authoritarianism, and the fait accompli effect.

1956 • 16 citations

Reactions to the Death of President Roosevelt

1947 • 14 citations

The Effects of Nominating Conventions, Elections, and Reference Group Identaication upon the Perception of Political Figures

1965 • 12 citations

Some Effects of Victory or Defeat upon Perception of Political Candidates

1967 • 12 citations

Interests and Personality Traits of Bible Institute Students

1947 • 11 citations

Presidential Popularity

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The Empty-Head Blues: Black Rebellion and White Reaction

2018 • 1 citations

Deleted Work

1955 • 0 citations