The Value of Decision Making in a Complex Environment: An Experimental Approach

Blind variation and selective retentions in creative thought as in other knowledge processes.

1960 • 2,236 citations

Linear models in decision making.

1974 • 1,885 citations

RATIONALITY AS PROCESS AND AS PRODUCT OF THOUGHT

1988 • 1,767 citations

Behavioral Decision Theory

1977 • 1,727 citations

BOUNDED RATIONALITY, AMBIGUITY, AND THE ENGINEERING OF CHOICE

1988 • 1,647 citations

Confidence in judgment: Persistence of the illusion of validity.

1978 • 1,174 citations

The Conceptual Framework of Psychology

1954 • 1,073 citations

Overconfidence in case-study judgments.

1965 • 1,039 citations

A Contingency Model for the Selection of Decision Strategies

1978 • 888 citations

Can Stock Market Forecasters Forecast?

1933 • 717 citations

Unit weighting schemes for decision making

1975 • 695 citations

Judgement and Choice: The Psychology of Decision.

1983 • 625 citations

Man versus model of man: A rationale, plus some evidence, for a method of improving on clinical inferences.

1970 • 622 citations

Forecasting and Planning: An Evaluation

1981 • 616 citations

Beyond discrete biases: Functional and dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics.

1981 • 598 citations

A case study of graduate admissions: Application of three principles of human decision making.

1971 • 574 citations

Accuracy of Forecasting: An Empirical Investigation

1979 • 520 citations

Organizational Learning: Observations Toward a Theory

1965 • 484 citations

Consistency and Optimality in Managerial Decision Making

1963 • 397 citations

Social judgment theory and the analysis of interpersonal conflict.

1976 • 284 citations

Quality of group judgment.

1977 • 271 citations

Learning from experience and suboptimal rules in decision making

1982 • 229 citations

Utility, Probability, and Human Decision Making

1975 • 220 citations

Extensions of Bowman's Theory on Managerial Decision-Making

1969 • 87 citations

Research Paradigms for Studying Dynamic Decision Behavior

1975 • 70 citations

Bootstrapping the security analyst.

1978 • 65 citations

Studies in machine cognition using the game of poker

1977 • 62 citations

Toward understanding and improving decisions

1982 • 59 citations

Man versus model of man: just how conflicting is that evidence?

1976 • 52 citations

MARKSTRAT : a marketing strategy game

1977 • 43 citations

Testing Bowman's Managerial Coefficient Theory Using a Competitive Gaming Environment

1978 • 36 citations

Effort control and judgments

1977 • 26 citations

On Compensatory Demand Functions in Marketing Simulations

1980 • 15 citations

Deleted Work

1955 • 0 citations