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Chapter 19 Asset prices, consumption, and the business cycle

Data up to Jan 2025

Published1999
Citations308
References125

Total Citations Per Year

Abstract

References (125)

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A model of investor sentiment1We are grateful to the NSF for financial support, and to Oliver Blanchard, Alon Brav, John Campbell (a referee), John Cochrane, Edward Glaeser, J.B. Heaton, Danny Kahneman, David Laibson, Owen Lamont, Drazen Prelec, Jay Ritter (a referee), Ken Singleton, Dick Thaler, an anonymous referee, and the editor, Bill Schwert, for comments.1

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Temporal Resolution of Uncertainty and Dynamic Choice Theory

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A Variance Decomposition for Stock Returns

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Substitution, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior of Consumption and Asset Returns: An Empirical Analysis

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The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity

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The Information in Long-Maturity Forward Rates

1987 • 1,646 citations

Stochastic Consumption, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior of Asset Returns

1983 • 1,611 citations

Theory ahead of business-cycle measurement

1986 • 1,592 citations

Saving and Liquidity Constraints

1991 • 1,535 citations

Intertemporal Substitution in Consumption

1988 • 1,533 citations

The Present-Value Relation: Tests Based on Implied Variance Bounds

1981 • 1,402 citations

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1989 • 1,394 citations

Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to Be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends

1980 • 1,351 citations

The equity risk premium a solution

1988 • 1,322 citations

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1984 • 1,274 citations

Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Consumers

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The consumption of stockholders and nonstockholders

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Implications of Security Market Data for Models of Dynamic Economies

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Asset pricing in production economies

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The World Price of Covariance Risk

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Mean Reversion in Stock Prices

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A Cross-Sectional Test of an Investment-Based Asset Pricing Model

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The Buffer-Stock Theory of Saving: Some Macroeconomic Evidence

1992 • 1,076 citations

Production‐Based Asset Pricing and the Link Between Stock Returns and Economic Fluctuations

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Asset Bubbles and Overlapping Generations

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Smart Money, Noise Trading and Stock Price Behaviour

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Asset Bubbles and Overlapping Generations

1985 • 588 citations

Rational Asset Pricing Bubbles

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Consumption Growth, the Interest Rate and Aggregation

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Intrinsic Bubbles: The Case of Stock Prices

1991 • 555 citations

Intertemporally Dependent Preferences and the Volatility of Consumption and Wealth

1989 • 553 citations

The response of consumption to income

1991 • 546 citations

The Changing Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

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Bubbles, Rational Expectations and Financial Markets

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Mean Reversion in Equilibrium Asset Prices

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The equity premium and the concentration of aggregate shocks

1986 • 453 citations

Consumption, Income, and Interest Rates: Reinterpreting the Time Series Evidence

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Speculative Dynamics

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An Empirical Investigation of Asset Pricing with Temporally Dependent Preference Specifications

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Why Does the Stock Market Fluctuate?

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Asset returns and intertemporal preferences

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1990 • 363 citations

INCOME AND WEALTH HETEROGENEITY, PORTFOLIO CHOICE, AND EQUILIBRIUM ASSET RETURNS

1997 • 354 citations

Asset Pricing Implications of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models

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Habit persistence and durability in aggregate consumption

1991 • 350 citations

Modeling the term structure of interest rates under non-separable utility and durability of goods

1986 • 315 citations

The term structure spread and future changes in long and short rates in the G7 countries

1994 • 305 citations

Asset Prices Under Habit Formation and Catching Up with the Joneses

1990 • 301 citations

Survival

1995 • 291 citations

The term structure of interest rates in a pure exchange economy with heterogeneous investors

1996 • 287 citations

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1996 • 287 citations

A Monetary Explanation of the Equity Premium, Term Premium, and Risk-Free Rate Puzzles

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Consumption correlatedness and risk measurement in economies with non-traded assets and heterogeneous information

1982 • 253 citations

Human behavior and the efficiency of the financial system

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Bond and Stock Returns in a Simple Exchange Model

1986 • 212 citations

The equity premium and the risk-free rate

1993 • 196 citations

The Intertemporal Elasticity of Substitution: An Exploration using a US Panel of State Data

1996 • 180 citations

Measuring risk aversion from excess returns on a stock index

1992 • 177 citations

The equity premium and the risk-free rate: matching the moments

1991 • 158 citations

Portfolio choice with non-expected utility in continuous time

1989 • 147 citations

The Construction of U.S. Consumption Data: Some Facts and Their Implications for Empirical Work

1992 • 142 citations

Real and Nominal Interest Rates: A Discrete-Time Model and Its Continuous-Time Limit

1992 • 113 citations

Reconsidering the Costs of Business Cycles with Incomplete Markets

1994 • 113 citations

Rational Versus Adaptive Expectations in Present Value Models

1989 • 91 citations

Estimating the Continuous-Time Consumption-Based Asset-Pricing Model

1987 • 88 citations

"Overreaction" of Asset Prices in General Equilibrium

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Seasonal Fluctuations and the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Model of Consumption

1986 • 72 citations

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The Swedish Business Cycle: Stylized Facts Over 130 Years

1992 • 66 citations

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Specification and estimation of intertemporal asset pricing models

1990 • 59 citations

"Peso Problem" Explanations for Term Structure Anomalies

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Asset Pricing Lessons for Modeling Business Cycles

1995 • 52 citations

An Empirical Note on the Term Structure and Interest Rate Stabilization Policies

1988 • 50 citations

Some tests of the consumption-based asset pricing model

1988 • 48 citations

Exact Solutions for Expected Rates of Return under Markov Regime Switching: Implications for the Equity Premium Puzzle

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1992 • 37 citations

Measuring and Interpreting Business Cycles

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Consumption and the Stock Market: Interpreting International Experience

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Approximate Equilibrium Asset Prices

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Idiosyncratic risk and volatility bounds

2001 • 6 citations

Robust Permanent Income and Pricing

2014 • 6 citations

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