Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts

The American Economic Review

2013 • 8,512 citations

Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements

1961 • 5,518 citations

Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts

1990 • 5,189 citations

Distribution of Residual Autocorrelations in Autoregressive-Integrated Moving Average Time Series Models

1970 • 1,730 citations

Irrational Behavior and Economic Theory

1962 • 1,166 citations

Forecasting Economic Time Series

1977 • 711 citations

Inflation, real returns and capital investment

1982 • 491 citations

The Formation of Inflationary Expectations

1981 • 254 citations

Economic Forecasts and Policy.

1960 • 186 citations

A Note on the Rationality of the Livingston Price Expectations

1975 • 183 citations

On Testing for Rationality: Another Look at the Livingston Price Expectations Data

1978 • 162 citations

Models of Inflation Expectations Formation: A Comparison of Household and Economist Forecasts

1983 • 146 citations

Contemporary Economic Problems.

1978 • 138 citations

The Use of Preliminary Data in Econometric Forecasting

1978 • 137 citations

The accuracy of individual and group forecasts from business outlook surveys

1984 • 127 citations

Individual Forecasting and Aggregate Outcomes

1984 • 117 citations

Comparing Survey and Rational Measures of Expected Inflation: Forecast Performance and Interest Rate Effects

1979 • 111 citations

Economic Forecasts and Expectations

1972 • 105 citations

Rational Expectations in the Macro Model

1976 • 82 citations

Price Expectations in Rising Inflation

1984 • 70 citations

The New ASA-NBER Survey of Forecasts by Economic Statisticians

1969 • 67 citations

An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Forecasts of Aggregate Income, Output, and the Price Level

1979 • 64 citations

Rational Expectations and the Predictive Efficiency of Economic Models

1975 • 63 citations

On the Accuracy of Time-Series, Interest Rate, and Survey Forecasts of Inflation

1985 • 55 citations

Price Expectations of Business Firms

1981 • 49 citations

Rational expectations and the econometric modeling of markets subject to uncertainty

1975 • 47 citations

Errors in Provisional Estimates of Gross National Product.

1970 • 39 citations

On Functions, Quality, and Timeliness of Economic Information

1982 • 18 citations

Methods and Techniques of Business Forecasting.

1976 • 18 citations

Rationality of inflationary expectations in the European Economic Communities Countries

1983 • 15 citations

Basic Issues in Econometrics.

1986 • 7 citations