Improving predictive distributions

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1974 • 24,440 citations

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1975 • 23,866 citations

Optimal Statistical Decisions.

1972 • 3,636 citations

Optimal Statistical Decisions.

1971 • 2,047 citations

Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations

1971 • 1,100 citations

Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis

1975 • 670 citations

Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions

1975 • 407 citations

Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions

1975 • 258 citations

The Quantification of Judgment: Some Methodological Suggestions

1967 • 192 citations

Probabilistic Prediction

1965 • 105 citations

Embedding Bayes' theorem in general learning rules: Connections between idealized behaviour and empirical research on learning

1978 • 7 citations

Deleted Work

1955 • 0 citations