Decision Analytic Networks in Artificial Intelligence

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Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference

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A Mathematical Theory of Evidence

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FOUNDATIONS OF STATISTICS

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Local Computations with Probabilities on Graphical Structures and Their Application to Expert Systems

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Decision analysis and behavioral research

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Applied Statistical Decision Theory

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The computational complexity of probabilistic inference using bayesian belief networks

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Bayesian statistical inference for psychological research.

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Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence

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Evaluating Influence Diagrams

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Information Value Theory

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Ordinal Conditional Functions: A Dynamic Theory of Epistemic States

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An analysis of time-dependent planning

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Approximating probabilistic inference in Bayesian belief networks is NP-hard

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Decision Analysis: Practice and Promise

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Bayesian networks without tears: making Bayesian networks more accessible to the probabilistically unsophisticated

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Bayesian updating in causal probabilistic networks by local computations

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Propagating Uncertainty in Bayesian Networks by Probabilistic Logic Sampling

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A Theory of Inferred Causation.

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Axioms for Probability and Belief-Function Propagation

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Probabilistic Inference and Influence Diagrams

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Components of expertise

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Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision.

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Planning and Control

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HUGIN: a shell for building Bayesian belief universes for expert systems

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Dynamic Decision Theory and Probabilistic Information Processings

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Decision theory in expert systems and artificial intelligence

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Toward Normative Expert Systems: Part I The Pathfinder Project

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Evidential reasoning using stochastic simulation of causal models

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Probabilistic Similarity Networks

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Simulation Approaches to General Probabilistic Inference on Belief Networks

1990 • 322 citations

Gaussian Influence Diagrams

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Probabilistic diagnosis using a reformulation of the INTERNIST-1/QMR knowledge base. I. The probabilistic model and inference algorithms.

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Dynamic programming and influence diagrams

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Weighing and Integrating Evidence for Stochastic Simulation in Bayesian Networks

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Knowledge Maps

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Some Practical Issues in Constructing Belief Networks.

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Intelligent decision systems

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A computational model for causal and diagnostic reasoning in inference systems

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An algebra of bayesian belief universes for knowledge‐based systems

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A Bayesian Method for Constructing Bayesian Belief Networks from Databases

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NESTOR: A Computer-Based Medical Diagnostic Aid That Integrates Causal and Probabilistic Knowledge.

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Knowledge acquisition for knowledge-based systems

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MUNIN: a causal probabilistic network for interpretation of electromyographic findings

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Discovering Causal Structure.

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Reasoning with belief functions: An analysis of compatibility

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A valuation-based language for expert systems

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Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather

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Decision analysis and expert systems

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d-Separation: From Theorems to Algorithms

1990 • 176 citations

Decision Making Using Probabilistic Inference Methods

1992 • 171 citations

Formulation of Tradeoffs in Planning Under Uncertainty

1990 • 170 citations

Uncertainty management in expert systems

1990 • 167 citations

A Tractable Inference Algorithm for Diagnosing Multiple Diseases1 1This work was supported by the NSF under Grant IRI-8703710, and by the NLM under Grant R01-LM04529.

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An inquiry into computer understanding

1988 • 153 citations

Toward Normative Expert Systems: Part II Probability-Based Representations for Efficient Knowledge Acquisition and Inference

1992 • 153 citations

Symbolic probabilistic inference in belief networks

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A Probabilistic Causal Model for Diagnostic Problem Solving Part II: Diagnostic Strategy

1987 • 136 citations

Reflection and action under scarce resources: theoretical principles and empirical study

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Expected-outcome: a general model of static evaluation

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Probabilistic Reasoning in Predictive Expert Systems

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Decision Theory and Artificial Intelligence II: The Hungry Monkey*

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Fusion and propagation with multiple observations in belief networks

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Computation and action under bounded resources

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Probabilistic Diagnosis Using a Reformulation of the INTERNIST-1/QMR Knowledge Base

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Is Probability Theory Sufficient for Dealing with Uncertainty in AI: A Negative View* *Research supported in part by NASA Grant NCC-2–275 and NSF Grants ECS-8209679 and IST-8320416.

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A probabilistic model of plan recognition

1991 • 96 citations

An ordered examination of influence diagrams

1990 • 89 citations

Using belief networks to forecast oil prices

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Intelligent Probabilistic Inference

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An approximate nonmyopic computation for value of information

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Evidence Absorption and Propagation Through Evidence Reversals

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Bayesian inference in model-based machine vision

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Consensus diagnosis: a simulation study

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GRAPHOIDS: Graph-Based Logic for Reasoning about Relevance Relations Or When Would x Tell You More about y If You Already Know z ?

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Search-based Methods to Bound Diagnostic Probabilities in Very Large Belief Nets

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The Topological Fusion of Bayes Nets **Supported in part by the National Science Foundation under grant SES-9106440.

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A comparison of approaches and implementations for automating decision analysis

1990 • 62 citations

Advances in Probabilistic Reasoning

1991 • 61 citations

An evaluation of the diagnostic accuracy of Pathfinder

1992 • 61 citations

IDES: influence diagram based expert system

1987 • 60 citations

The Economic Value of Analysis and Computation

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Multiple sensor expert system for diagnostic reasoning, monitoring and control of mechanical systems

1988 • 58 citations

Model-Based Influence Diagrams For Machine Vision

1990 • 58 citations

An Introduction to Algorithms for Inference in Belief Nets

1990 • 52 citations

Potential influence diagrams

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Automated construction of sparse Bayesian networks from unstructured probabilistic models and domain information

1990 • 51 citations

Reasoning about beliefs and actions under computational resource constraints.

1988 • 49 citations

Knowledge representation and inference in intelligent decision systems

1987 • 48 citations

Interval Influence Diagrams

1990 • 48 citations

Qualitative Probabilistic Networks for Planning Under Uncertainty

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Updating uncertain information

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Plan Recognition in Stories and in Life* *This work has been supported in part by the National Science Foundation under grants IST 8416034 and IST 8515005 and Office of Naval Research under grant N00014-79-C-0529.

1990 • 42 citations

Inference in possibilistic hypergraphs

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An Empirical Comparison of Three Inference Methods1 1This work was supported by the NSF under Grant IRI-8703710, and by the NLM under Grant RO1LM04529.

1990 • 40 citations

Graphical inference in qualitative probabilistic networks

1990 • 39 citations

Utility-Based Control for Computer Vision

1990 • 34 citations

Probabilistic heuristic estimates

1990 • 32 citations

Knowledge, probability, and credibility

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The Expected-Outcome Model of Two-Player Games

1991 • 30 citations

Some Complexity Considerations in the Combination of Belief Networks**Supported in part by the National Science Foundation under grant SES-9106440.

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A Bayesian analysis of simulation algorithms for inference in belief networks

1993 • 29 citations

ARCO1: An Application of Belief Networks to the Oil Market

1991 • 26 citations

Tetrad II: User's Manual

1994 • 24 citations

Qualitative intercausal relations, or explaining explaining away

1991 • 24 citations

Decision Processes In Influence Diagrams: Formulation and Analysis

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The structure of Bayes networks for visual recognition

1990 • 23 citations

Directed reduction algorithms and decomposable graphs

1990 • 22 citations

A Fusion Algorithm for Solving Bayesian Decision Problems

1991 • 21 citations

The equivalence of exact methods for probabilistic inference on belief networks

1991 • 20 citations

An Empirical Evaluation of a Randomized Algorithm for Probabilistic Inference

1990 • 19 citations

Bayesian Belief Network Inference Using Simulation.

1987 • 18 citations

Deriving a Minimal I-map of a Belief Network Relative to a Target Ordering of its Nodes**Supported in part by the National Science Foundation under grant SES-9106440.

1993 • 16 citations

Probabilistic multi-knowledge-base systems

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From Relational Databases to Belief Networks

1991 • 14 citations

Symbolic Probabilistic Inference with Continuous Variables

1991 • 13 citations

Local Expression Languages for Probabilistic Dependence: a preliminary report

1991 • 13 citations

Interpretive value analysis

1989 • 12 citations

A Linear Approximation Method for Probabilistic Inference

1990 • 11 citations

A Sensitivity Analysis of Pathfinder: A Follow-up Study

1991 • 10 citations

A belief network model for forecasting within the electricity sector

1990 • 8 citations

Probabilistic multi-knowledge-base systems: automated group decision-making in expert systems

1990 • 7 citations

On knowledge representation in belief networks

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Bayesian Inference for Radar Imagery Based Surveillance

1988 • 7 citations

Modeling temporal processes via belief networks and Petri nets, with application to expert systems

1990 • 6 citations

An analysis of error recovery and sensory integration for dynamic planners

1991 • 5 citations

Toward an art and science of knowledge engineering: a case for belief networks

1993 • 3 citations

Explaining decision-theoretic choices

1990 • 3 citations

Spatial understanding: the successor system

1989 • 3 citations

A Belief Network-Based System that Forecasts the Oil Market by Constructing Producer Behavior

1993 • 3 citations

Symbolic Probabilistic Inference with Evidence Potential

1991 • 1 citations

Deleted Work

1955 • 0 citations