Econometric GNP forecasts: Incremental information relative to naive extrapolation

Forecasting Economic Time Series

2000 • 1,898 citations

Improved methods of combining forecasts

1984 • 1,119 citations

Forecasting Economic Time Series

1977 • 711 citations

Averages of Forecasts: Some Empirical Results

1983 • 631 citations

Applied multivariate analysis

1972 • 500 citations

Combining Probability Distributions from Dependent Information Sources

1981 • 475 citations

The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy

1972 • 397 citations

The Econometric Analysis of Economic Time Series

1983 • 382 citations

Combining Economic Forecasts

1986 • 310 citations

Limits for the Precision and Value of Information from Dependent Sources

1985 • 296 citations

Some comments on the evaluation of economic forecasts

1973 • 270 citations

Forecasting Accuracy of Alternative Techniques: A Comparison of U.S. Macroeconomic Forecasts

1986 • 147 citations

A RE‐EXAMINATION OF MARKET AND INDUSTRY FACTORS IN STOCK PRICE BEHAVIOR

1973 • 143 citations

Applied Multivariate Analysis.

1983 • 136 citations

The accuracy of individual and group forecasts from business outlook surveys

1984 • 127 citations

Combining Economic Forecasts

1986 • 110 citations

Unstable Weights in the Combination of Forecasts

1986 • 108 citations

The Ex Ante Prediction Performance of the St. Louis and FRB-MIT-PENN Econometric Models and Some Results on Composite Predictors

1975 • 98 citations

Forecasting Accuracy of Alternative Techniques: A Comparison of U.S. Macroeconomic Forecasts

1986 • 76 citations

Optimal Aggregation of Money Supply Forecasts: Accuracy, Profitability and Market Efficiency

1983 • 76 citations

An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Forecasts of Aggregate Income, Output, and the Price Level

1979 • 64 citations

Optimal Aggregation of Money Supply Forecasts: Accuracy, Profitability and Market Efficiency

1983 • 13 citations