Scoring the Leading Indicators

VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY

1950 • 4,617 citations

A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score

1973 • 1,004 citations

Are Economic Time Series Asymmetric over the Business Cycle?

1984 • 960 citations

Measurement Without Theory

1947 • 786 citations

Is the business cycle characterized by deterministic chaos?

1988 • 421 citations

Scoring Rules and the Evaluation of Probability Assessors

1969 • 253 citations

Optimal prediction of cyclical downturns

1982 • 215 citations

Oversmoothed Nonparametric Density Estimates

1985 • 192 citations

Predicting the Turning Points of a Time Series

1979 • 122 citations

Statistical indicators of cyclical revivals

1938 • 121 citations

Sequential Signals of Recession and Recovery

1982 • 90 citations

Predicting the Turning Points of Business and Economic Time Series

1987 • 86 citations

On the Use of Leading Indicators to Predict Cyclical Turning Points

1973 • 75 citations

THE MONTE CARLO CYCLE IN BUSINESS ACTIVITY

1975 • 61 citations

An Examination of the Commerce Department Leading-lndicator Approach

1988 • 32 citations

On the Appraisal of Cyclical Turning-Point Predictors

1960 • 11 citations

15. Scoring the Leading Indicators

1999 • 2 citations

[An Application of Operational-Subjective Statistical Methods to Rational Expectations]: Comment

1988 • 1 citations