Forecasting, rational expectations and the phillips-curve: An empirical investigation

Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control

1977 • 19,717 citations

Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series

1982 • 4,673 citations

Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies

1983 • 4,141 citations

Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series

1988 • 2,527 citations

Let's Take the Con Out of Econometrics

1983 • 2,356 citations

Real Business Cycles

1983 • 1,955 citations

The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition

1982 • 1,444 citations

Economic Forecasts and Policy

1962 • 1,020 citations

Unanticipated Money Growth and Unemployment in the United States

1977 • 841 citations

Unanticipated Money, Output, and the Price Level in the United States

1978 • 669 citations

A Classical Macroeconometric Model for the United States

1976 • 562 citations

Accuracy of Forecasting: An Empirical Investigation

1979 • 520 citations

A comparison of inflation forecasts

1984 • 387 citations

What Economics Is Most Important to Teach: The Hansen Committee Report

1977 • 382 citations

A Model of Exchange Rate Dynamics

1982 • 327 citations

Economic Forecasts and Policy.

1959 • 325 citations

Economically Rational Expectations: Are Innovations in the Rate of Inflation Independent of Innovations in Measures of Monetary and Fiscal Policy?

1976 • 307 citations

Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series

1981 • 307 citations

Does Anticipated Monetary Policy Matter? An Econometric Investigation

1982 • 294 citations

The Observational Equivalence of Natural and Unnatural Rate Theories of Macroeconomics

1976 • 282 citations

Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series

1981 • 276 citations

Price Inertia and Policy Ineffectiveness in the United States, 1890-1980

1982 • 201 citations

The Economics of exchange rates : selected studies

1978 • 169 citations

The Efficiency of Foreign Exchange Markets and Measures of Turbulence

1980 • 152 citations

An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models

1979 • 101 citations

The Ex Ante Prediction Performance of the St. Louis and FRB-MIT-PENN Econometric Models and Some Results on Composite Predictors

1975 • 98 citations

Identification of rational expectations models

1981 • 89 citations

Macroeconometric testing of the rational expectations and structural neutrality hypotheses for the United States

1980 • 86 citations

Anticipated Money, Inflation Uncertainity and Real Economic Activity

1982 • 85 citations

Lead-Lag Relations, Exogeneity and Prediction of Economic Time Series

1979 • 84 citations

A Critique of the Proposed Tests of the Natural Rate-Rational Expectations Hypothesis

1982 • 83 citations

The Equilibrium Approach to Business Cycles

1981 • 83 citations

The Behavior of Money, Credit, and Prices in a Real Business Cycle

1982 • 66 citations

Rational expectations and economic policy

1980 • 59 citations

The Current State of the Policy-Ineffectiveness Debate

1979 • 56 citations

On the Observational Inequivalence of Classical and Keynesian Models

1979 • 52 citations

Unemployment and monetary policy under rational expectations

1980 • 51 citations

Unanticipated monetary growth, output and the price level: U.K. 1946–1977

1981 • 48 citations

A quarterly model of unanticipated monetary growth, output and the price level in the U.K. 1963–1978

1981 • 46 citations

UNANTICIPATED MONEY GROWTH AND OUTPUT FLUCTUATIONS

1979 • 42 citations

Expectations and Output-Inflation Tradeoffs in a Fixed-Exchange-Rate Economy

1979 • 33 citations

Money, expectations, and business cycles : essays in macroeconomics

1981 • 29 citations

Does Anticipated Aggregate Demand Policy Matter

1983 • 17 citations

Rational expectations, supply shocks and the stability of the inflation-output tradeoff

1983 • 13 citations

Real effects of anticipated and unanticipated money

1983 • 12 citations

Tests of a rational expectations-structural neutrality model with persistent effects of monetary disturbances

1983 • 11 citations