Optimal expectations and the extreme information assumptions of ‘rational expectations’ macromodels

Linear Statistical Inference and its Applications

1973 • 10,599 citations

Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements

1961 • 5,518 citations

Techniques for Testing the Constancy of Regression Relationships Over Time

1975 • 4,552 citations

A Theory of the Consumption Function

1960 • 2,411 citations

"Rational" Expectations, the Optimal Monetary Instrument, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule

1975 • 2,222 citations

The monetary dynamics of hyperinflation

1956 • 1,603 citations

An Equilibrium Model of the Business Cycle

1975 • 1,045 citations

Rational expectations and the role of monetary policy

1976 • 999 citations

Short- Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation

2021 • 937 citations

A Theory of the Consumption Function

1958 • 893 citations

Optimal Properties of Exponentially Weighted Forecasts

1960 • 888 citations

Studies in the Quantity Theory of Money.

1957 • 865 citations

Linear statistical inference and its applications

1966 • 750 citations

Rational Expectations, the Real Rate of Interest, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment

1973 • 523 citations

Rational Expectations and the Natural Rate Hypothesis: Some Consistent Estimates

1976 • 449 citations

Optimal Properties of Exponentially Weighted Forecasts

1960 • 272 citations

Rational expectations and the dynamic structure of macroeconomic models

1978 • 257 citations

Monetary Policy during a Transition to Rational Expectations

1975 • 186 citations

The Multi-Period Control Problem Under Uncertainty

1972 • 176 citations

Rational Expectations and Bayesian Analysis

1974 • 170 citations

Economic Forecasts and Expectations.

1971 • 93 citations

A Survey of Stochastic Parameter Regression

1973 • 72 citations

Tests of an Adaptive Regression Model

1973 • 60 citations

Distributed lags and unobserved components in economic time series

1967 • 58 citations

A bayesian approach to the theory of expectations

1969 • 41 citations

A Survey of Stochastic Parameter Regression

1973 • 37 citations

Time-Varying Parameter Structures: An Overview

1973 • 34 citations

Economic Stabilization Policy: Methods in Optimization

1975 • 34 citations

Models of Adaptive Forecasting

1969 • 30 citations

The term structure of interest rates

1996 • 28 citations

Time-Varying Parameter Structures: An Overview

1973 • 20 citations

Long-Term Contracts, Rational Expectations and the Optimal Money Supply Rule

1975 • 5 citations

The information value of observing monetary policy deliberations

1979 • 3 citations

OPTIMAL STABILIZATION POLICY: A NEW FORMULATION.

1974 • 3 citations