When and why do people avoid unknown probabilities in decisions under uncertainty? Testing some predictions from optimal foraging theory

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1975 • 23,866 citations

Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty

1992 • 14,173 citations

Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms

1961 • 7,563 citations

FOUNDATIONS OF STATISTICS

2001 • 7,247 citations

Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.

1984 • 5,967 citations

The Adapted mind : evolutionary psychology and the generation of culture

1992 • 5,227 citations

Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases

1982 • 3,614 citations

The Psychological Foundations of Culture

1992 • 3,380 citations

Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality.

1996 • 3,123 citations

The Language Instinct

1994 • 3,054 citations

The organization of learning

1990 • 2,556 citations

The logic of social exchange: Has natural selection shaped how humans reason? Studies with the Wason selection task

1989 • 2,449 citations

THE FOUNDATIONS OF STATISTICS

1954 • 2,136 citations

How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats.

1995 • 1,950 citations

Recent developments in modeling preferences: Uncertainty and ambiguity

1992 • 1,777 citations

Preference and belief: Ambiguity and competence in choice under uncertainty

1991 • 1,720 citations

Measuring Utility by a Single-Response Sequential Method (1964)

1974 • 1,646 citations

Reason-based choice

1993 • 1,420 citations

The organization of learning

1991 • 1,368 citations

Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions from the literature on judgment under uncertainty

1996 • 1,294 citations

On the reality of cognitive illusions.

1996 • 1,268 citations

How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear: Beyond “Heuristics and Biases”

1991 • 1,129 citations

On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A reply to Kahneman and Tversky.

1996 • 995 citations

Ambiguity and uncertainty in probabilistic inference.

1985 • 775 citations

Ambiguity Aversion and Comparative Ignorance

2000 • 713 citations

Thinking through uncertainty: Nonconsequential reasoning and choice

1992 • 666 citations

Evolutionary psychology and the generation of culture, part II

1989 • 663 citations

Evolutionary psychology and the generation of culture, part I

1989 • 641 citations

Decision Making Under Ambiguity

1986 • 638 citations

Psychological sources of ambiguity avoidance

1986 • 524 citations

Beyond intuition and instinct blindness: toward an evolutionarily rigorous cognitive science

1994 • 502 citations

Ambiguity and rationality

1988 • 453 citations

Translation of Gambles and Aspiration Level Effects in Risky Choice Behavior

1980 • 353 citations

Energy budgets, risk and foraging preferences in dark-eyed juncos (Junco hyemalis)

1981 • 331 citations

Why the distinction between single-event probabilities and frequencies is important for psychology (and vice versa).

1994 • 234 citations

Individuation, counting, and statistical inference: The role of frequency and whole-object representations in judgment under uncertainty.

1998 • 231 citations

Descriptive and Normative Implications of the Decision-Theory Postulates

1968 • 217 citations

The center and range of the probability interval as factors affecting ambiguity preferences

1985 • 189 citations

Characterization of ambiguity in decision making

1976 • 189 citations

Components of risk in decision making: Probability and variance preferences.

1960 • 167 citations

The evolution of mind

1998 • 161 citations

An empirical evaluation of descriptive models of ambiguity reactions in choice situations

1989 • 136 citations

Some thoughts on the psychological concept of risk.

1983 • 118 citations

Ecological intelligence: An adaptation for frequencies

1997 • 111 citations

When Time Is of the Essence: Averaging, Aspiration, and the Short Run

1996 • 98 citations

Decision theory, the pigeon, and the psychophysical function.

1967 • 88 citations

Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all

1996 • 68 citations

Evolutionary hypotheses of risk-sensitive choice: Age differences and perspective change

1996 • 53 citations

Bases for preferences among three-outcome bets.

1965 • 52 citations

Robust Tolerance for Ambiguity

1994 • 33 citations

A Logical Design for the Mind?

1996 • 31 citations

Subjective Probability

1995 • 31 citations