Future imperfect: The limitations of clinical prediction models and the limits of clinical prediction

A Mathematical Theory of Communication

1948 • 73,365 citations

A Mathematical Theory of Communication

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Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

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Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

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The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

1982 • 20,275 citations

Simple mathematical models with very complicated dynamics

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Thomas, Springfield, Illinois

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Brainstorms: Philosophical Essays on Mind and Psychology.

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Problems of Spectrum and Bias in Evaluating the Efficacy of Diagnostic Tests

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Regression modelling strategies for improved prognostic prediction

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Clinical Prediction Rules

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Computer-Intensive Methods in Statistics

1983 • 1,163 citations

Silent Ischemia as a Marker for Early Unfavorable Outcomes in Patients with Unstable Angina

1986 • 680 citations

Exercise Treadmill Score for Predicting Prognosis in Coronary Artery Disease

1987 • 674 citations

Statistical Approaches to the Analysis of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curves

1984 • 566 citations

Predictors of the Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome Developing in a Cohort of Seropositive Homosexual Men

1987 • 520 citations

SUGI supplemental library user's guide

1983 • 402 citations

Factors affecting sensitivity and specificity of exercise electrocardiography

1984 • 373 citations

The Declining Specificity of Exercise Radionuclide Ventriculography

1983 • 321 citations

Prognostic Importance of Thallium Uptake by the Lungs during Exercise in Coronary Artery Disease

1987 • 278 citations

Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026

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Accuracy of diagnosis of coronary artery disease by radionuclide management of left ventricular function during rest and exercise.

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This Is Not a Pipe

1983 • 208 citations

SUGI supplemental library user's guide

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Academic Economics

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Importance of clinical measures of ischemia in the prognosis of patients with documented coronary artery disease

1988 • 166 citations

Incremental prognostic power of clinical history, exercise electrocardiography and myocardial perfusion scintigraphy in suspected coronary artery disease

1987 • 161 citations

Reverend Bayes' silent majority

1986 • 147 citations

Alternative Referent Standards for Cardiac Normality

1984 • 134 citations

Prognostic implications of exercise thallium-201 scintigraphy in patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease

1985 • 133 citations

A Clinical Index to Predict Survival in Acute Renal Failure Patients Requiring Dialysis

1988 • 131 citations

Limitations and advantages of the ejection fraction for defining high risk after acute myocardial infarction

1986 • 106 citations

A model for assessing the sensitivity and specificity of tests subject to selection bias

1986 • 102 citations

ROC Steady

1987 • 52 citations

A Note on Confidence Bands for the Logistic Response Curve

1983 • 51 citations

Cardiac evaluation of women distance runners by echocardiographic color Doppler flow mapping

1988 • 49 citations

Quantitative analysis of dipyridamole-thallium images for the detection of coronary artery disease

1987 • 44 citations

Metadiagnosis

1983 • 40 citations

Measuring the Effectiveness of Medical Decisions

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Monkey business

1986 • 33 citations

Tumour burden in early stage Hodgkin's disease: the single most important prognostic factor for outcome after radiotherapy

1987 • 29 citations

A Companion to Medical Statistics.

1986 • 18 citations

World Population: Still Ahead of Schedule

1987 • 10 citations

Whom to Blame for the Great Storm?

1988 • 7 citations

WOULD YOU BELIEVE 99.9969% EXPLAINED?

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Ownership of the Human Genome

1987 • 5 citations

Statistical practice and statistical education in cardiology.

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Of Doomsday and the Lower Mississippi

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Reply

1984 • 3 citations