Decision Analysis: A Progress Report

The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

1982 • 20,275 citations

Basic principles of ROC analysis

1978 • 5,844 citations

Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

1983 • 3,931 citations

Analysis of Probability as an Aid in the Clinical Diagnosis of Coronary-Artery Disease

1979 • 2,657 citations

Foundations of Cost-Effectiveness Analysis for Health and Medical Practices

1977 • 2,113 citations

On the Elicitation of Preferences for Alternative Therapies

1982 • 1,664 citations

The Threshold Approach to Clinical Decision Making

1980 • 1,279 citations

Primer on Certain Elements of Medical Decision Making

1975 • 1,168 citations

Predictive Value of a Single Diagnostic Test in Unselected Populations

1966 • 968 citations

The Markov Process in Medical Prognosis

1983 • 954 citations

Nomogram for Bayes's Theorem

1975 • 950 citations

Reasoning Foundations of Medical Diagnosis

1959 • 945 citations

Maximum-likelihood estimation of parameters of signal-detection theory and determination of confidence intervals—Rating-method data

1969 • 865 citations

Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis Using Monte Carlo Simulation

1985 • 820 citations

Selection and interpretation of diagnostic tests and procedures. Principles and applications.

1981 • 783 citations

Probabilistic reasoning in clinical medicine: Problems and opportunities

1982 • 718 citations

Speech and Survival

1981 • 677 citations

Utility Functions for Life Years and Health Status

1980 • 677 citations

Computer-aided Diagnosis of Acute Abdominal Pain

1972 • 672 citations

The utility of different health states as perceived by the general public

1978 • 667 citations

Therapeutic Decision Making: A Cost-Benefit Analysis

1975 • 486 citations

Fallacy of the Five-Year Survival in Lung Cancer

1978 • 477 citations

A convenient approximation of life expectancy (the “DEALE”)

1982 • 472 citations

A convenient approximation of life expectancy (the “DEALE”)

1982 • 418 citations

Factors affecting sensitivity and specificity of exercise electrocardiography

1984 • 373 citations

Preferences for Health Outcomes

1984 • 368 citations

Bayesian Analysis of Electrocardiographic Exercise Stress Testing

1977 • 294 citations

How Medical Professionals Evaluate Expressions of Probability

1986 • 276 citations

Allocation of Resources to Manage Hypertension

1977 • 263 citations

An Additional Basic Science for Clinical Medicine: IV. The Development of Clinimetrics

1983 • 255 citations

Care of Patients with a Low Probability of Acute Myocardial Infarction

1984 • 250 citations

Decision analysis and clinical judgment

1973 • 248 citations

Application of conditional probability analysis to the clinical diagnosis of coronary artery disease.

1980 • 244 citations

Decision-Making Studies in Patient Management

1971 • 242 citations

Prophylactic Cholecystectomy or Expectant Management for Silent Gallstones

1983 • 239 citations

Cost-Effectiveness of Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery

1985 • 225 citations

Evaluation of Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Data in Terms of Information Theory, with Applications in Radiography

1973 • 221 citations

Indications for Use of Hepatitis B Vaccine, Based on Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

1982 • 210 citations

Discount Functions and the Measurement of Patients' Values

1984 • 208 citations

Visual Detection and Localization of Radiographic Images

1975 • 206 citations

What Do We Gain from the Sixth Stool Guaiac?

1975 • 195 citations

Adding Insult to Injury

1983 • 193 citations

Estrogen Use in Postmenopausal Women — Costs, Risks, and Benefits

1980 • 185 citations

The 'Chagrin Factor' and Qualitative Decision Analysis

1985 • 184 citations

The Economic Value of Changing Mortality Probabilities: A Decision-Theoretic Approach

1980 • 182 citations

Measures of Clinical Efficacy

1975 • 180 citations

Cost Effectiveness of Clinical Diagnosis, Venography, and Noninvasive Testing in Patients with Symptomatic Deep-Vein Thrombosis

1981 • 172 citations

Benefit and Cost Analysis in Geriatric Care

1984 • 167 citations

A diagnostic strategy using ventilation-perfusion studies in patients suspect for pulmonary embolism.

1976 • 167 citations

Numbers are better than words

1983 • 164 citations

Influenza Vaccination

1983 • 157 citations

Cost Effectiveness of Vaccination against Pneumococcal Pneumonia

1980 • 156 citations

Decision analysis as the basis for computer-aided management of acute renal failure

1973 • 152 citations

XXXIX. The haze of Bayes, the aerial palaces of decision analysis, and the computerized Ouija board

1977 • 146 citations

The Cost of Underutilization

1984 • 145 citations

Pertussis Vaccine — An Analysis of Benefits, Risks and Costs

1979 • 143 citations

Occult Intracranial Aneurysms in Polycystic Kidney Disease

1983 • 139 citations

Coronary Artery Surgery: The Use of Decision Analysis

1976 • 138 citations

Bayes' theorem and conditional nonindependence of data in medical diagnosis

1978 • 137 citations

Cost-Effective Care of End-Stage Renal Disease: A Billion Dollar Question

1980 • 136 citations

The principles of clinical decision making: an introduction to decision analysis.

1976 • 135 citations

An Analysis of the Cost-Effectiveness of Pharyngitis Management and Acute Rheumatic Fever Prevention

1977 • 127 citations

Assessment of Patients' Preferences for Therapeutic Outcomes

1981 • 125 citations

Endocarditis prophylaxis for patients with mitral valve prolapse

1984 • 122 citations

Diagnostic Value of HLA-B27 Testing in Ankylosing Spondylitis and Reiter's Syndrome

1982 • 119 citations

Use of Sequential Bayesian Model in Diagnosis of Jaundice by Computer

1973 • 119 citations

Preventing the birth of infants with Down's syndrome: a cost-benefit analysis.

1976 • 118 citations

The Decision to Biopsy, Treat, or Wait in Suspected Herpes Encephalitis

1980 • 113 citations

A quantitative assessment of pre-dental antibiotic prophylaxis for patients with mitral-valve prolapse

1984 • 110 citations

Decision Analysis

1979 • 109 citations

Feasibility of Willingness-to-Pay Measurement in Chronic Arthritis

1984 • 107 citations

Construction of Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves when Disease Verification Is Subject to Selection Bias

1984 • 102 citations

The Diagnostic Importance of the Normal Finding

1978 • 102 citations

Roentgenograms in Primary Care Patients With Acute Low Back Pain

1982 • 102 citations

The Swine-Influenza Decision

1976 • 99 citations

Value and limitations of the electrocardiographic response to exercise in the assessment of patients with coronary artery disease

1978 • 97 citations

Sequential Diagnosis by Computer

1968 • 97 citations

The value of screening for glaucoma with tonometry

1983 • 95 citations

Pathology and Probabilities

1981 • 95 citations

The Cold Thyroid Nodule: An Analysis of Diagnostic and Therapeutic Options*

1984 • 95 citations

Principles of Genetic Counseling.

1976 • 94 citations

Clinical decision analysis by personal computer

1981 • 93 citations

Quality of Life in End-Stage Renal Disease

1984 • 93 citations

Measures of Clinical Efficacy

1975 • 92 citations

Myocardial imaging with 201Thallium: An analysis of clinical usefulness based on bayes' theorem

1978 • 92 citations

Management of Acute Dysuria

1985 • 91 citations

Prevention of the Wernicke-Korsakoff Syndrome

1978 • 88 citations

Should Young Adults with a Positive Tuberculin Test Take Isoniazid?

1981 • 88 citations

Management Strategies for Urinary and Vaginal Infections

1978 • 87 citations

Cost-Effective Priorities for Cancer Prevention

1983 • 83 citations

Computer-aided Diagnosis: Description of an Adaptable System, and Operational Experience with 2,034 Cases

1972 • 79 citations

Cost-effectiveness of primary and secondary prevention of fatal pulmonary embolism in high-risk surgical patients.

1982 • 79 citations

Which Children With Febrile Seizures Need Lumbar Puncture?

1983 • 77 citations

A Benefit-Cost Analysis of Mumps Vaccine

1982 • 76 citations

Decision Maker 3.0

1983 • 72 citations

Prenatal diagnosis: a directive approach to genetic counseling using decision analysis.

1977 • 72 citations

Cholesterol, Children, and Heart Disease: An Analysis of Alternatives

1981 • 70 citations

A Cost-Benefit Analysis of Immunization for Pneumococcal Pneumonia

1981 • 69 citations

Glaucoma screening. A cost-effectiveness analysis

1983 • 67 citations

Cost/benefit analysis of treatment and prevention of myocardial infarction.

1977 • 64 citations

Preventing Neonatal Herpes

1984 • 64 citations

Can exercise electrocardiography and thallium-201 myocardial imaging exclude the diagnosis of coronary artery disease?

1982 • 63 citations

Clinical decision analysis. The hazard of using additional data

1976 • 62 citations

Derived Thresholds

1983 • 59 citations

A Visicalc Program for Estimating the Area Under a Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curve

1985 • 58 citations

A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Continuous Ambulatory Peritoneal Dialysis and Hospital Hemodialysis

1984 • 58 citations

Computer-aided diagnosis of ?dyspepsia?

1975 • 56 citations

Hidden Ethical Issues in Clinical Decision Analysis

1981 • 54 citations

APPLICATION OF DECISION ANALYSIS TO MANAGEMENT OF CEREBRAL ARTERIOVENOUS MALFORMATION

1983 • 54 citations

The Cost Effectiveness of Therapeutic and Prophylactic Leukocyte Transfusion

1980 • 52 citations

Clinical decision consultation service

1986 • 52 citations

Reliability, Decision Rules, and the Value of Repeated Tests

1982 • 50 citations

Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery

1981 • 50 citations

Diagnosis. I. Symptom nonindependence in mathematical models for diagnosis

1975 • 50 citations

Choice of preventive treatment for isoniazid-resistant tuberculous infection. Use of decision analysis and the Delphi technique.

1980 • 49 citations

Decision theory in cancer therapy

1967 • 49 citations

Usefulness of Synovial Fluid Analysis in the Evaluation of Joint Effusions

1984 • 49 citations

Evaluation of elective repeat cesarean section as a standard of care: An application of decision analysis

1981 • 48 citations

Comparison of different strategies for treatment of duodenal ulcer.

1985 • 47 citations

The clinical management of suspected herpes virus encephalitis

1980 • 46 citations

Application of Bayes's theorem to results of quantitative clinical chemical determinations.

1979 • 46 citations

A Mathematical Model for Timing Repeated Medical Tests

1983 • 44 citations

The Solitary Pulmonary Nodule

1985 • 42 citations

The Cost Effectiveness of Stopping Preterm Labor with Beta-Adrenergic Treatment

1984 • 41 citations

The ‘abnormal’ screening serum thyroxine (T4): Analysis of physician response, outcome, cost and health effectiveness

1981 • 41 citations

A Mathematical Approach to Interpretation and Selection of Diagnostic Tests

1983 • 41 citations

Is Antimicrobial Prophylaxis of Urinary Tract Infections Cost Effective?

1981 • 40 citations

Measures of clinical efficacy. III. The value of the lung scan in the evaluation of young patients with pleuritic chest pain.

1976 • 40 citations

Observer Performance in Detecting multiple Radiographic Signals

1976 • 40 citations

The amniocentesis decision: an explicit guide for parents.

1979 • 39 citations

The relative value of carotid noninvasive testing as determined by receiver operator characteristic curves.

1980 • 39 citations

Cost Effectiveness of Lead Screening

1982 • 38 citations

Weighted Criteria for the Diagnosis of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

1984 • 38 citations

Decision Analysis and Clinical Judgment

1981 • 37 citations

Is renal biopsy necessary for optimal management of the idiopathic nephrotic syndrome?

1983 • 37 citations

Measurement of Individual Preferences

1982 • 36 citations

Suspected Obstructive Jaundice: A Decision Analysis of Diagnostic Strategies

1983 • 35 citations

Comparative Cost Effectiveness of Gentamicin and Tobramycin

1984 • 34 citations

Diagnosis and Treatment of Dyspepsia

1982 • 33 citations

Decision-Analytic Determination of Study Size

1981 • 33 citations

Optimizing the clinical value of hepatic scintiphotography

1978 • 31 citations

The dilemma of the solitary thyroid nodule: Resolution through decision analysis

1978 • 31 citations

The Patient's Role in Assessing the Value of Diagnostic Tests

1979 • 30 citations

The Choice to Treat All, Some, or No Patients Undergoing Gastrointestinal Surgery with Nutritional Support: A Decision Analysis Approach

1984 • 28 citations

A Theoretical Assessment of the Value of the PTT as a Preoperative Screening Test in Adults

1981 • 27 citations

Diagnostic planning using computer assisted decision-making for patients with Hodgkin's disease

1977 • 27 citations

Utility of thyroid aspiration biopsy.

1982 • 26 citations

IS RENAL BIOPSY NECESSARY IN ADULTS WITH NEPHROTIC SYNDROME?

1982 • 25 citations

Decision Analysis to Evaluate Lymphangiography in the Management of Patients with Hodgkin's Disease

1977 • 24 citations

The serum digoxin test and digoxin toxicity: a Bayesian approach to decision making.

1981 • 24 citations

Diagnostic Accuracy of Four Assays of Prostatic Acid Phosphatase

1985 • 24 citations

Computer-Aided Diagnosis of Lower Gastrointestinal Tract Disorders

1975 • 23 citations

Decision Analysis in Individual Clinical Decision Making : A Real-World Application in Treatment of Renal Disease

1976 • 23 citations

A Cost-Benefit Analysis of a Mandatory Premarital Rubella-Antibody Screening Program

1979 • 22 citations

The surgical decision in tetralogy of fallot: Weighing risks and benefits with decision analysis

1980 • 21 citations

Clinical Decision Making Rounds At the New England Medical Center

1984 • 21 citations

Screening for congenital dislocation of the hip: an economic appraisal.

1984 • 21 citations

Evaluation of Operational Failures in Clinical Decision Making

1983 • 20 citations

The Application of Decision Theory to the Prevention of Deep Vein Thrombosis Following Myocardial Infarction

1974 • 20 citations

Epidemiologic and Prophylactic Treatment of Gonorrhea

1979 • 19 citations

Implications of alternative strategies to diagnose coronary artery disease.

1982 • 18 citations

Clinical decision-making with treadmill testing and thallium 201

1980 • 18 citations

The Risk Ratio Is Insufficient for Clinical Decisions

1984 • 17 citations

A Decision Analysis Approach to the Swine Influenza Vaccination Decision for an Individual

1980 • 17 citations

Selective or routine intraoperative cholangiography: A cost-effectiveness analysis

1980 • 16 citations

The Effect of Private Attitudes on Public Policy

1981 • 16 citations

What To Do When the Patient Outlives the Literature, or DEALE-ing with a Full Deck

1983 • 16 citations

Patient-Oriented Performance Measures of Diagnostic Tests

1984 • 16 citations

Tuberculosis chemoprophylaxis for diabetics: are the benefits of isoniazid worth the risk?

1985 • 15 citations

Hemodialysis—Projecting future bed needs. Deterministic and probabilistic forecasting

1976 • 15 citations

The costs and effects of screening for cancer among asbestos-exposed workers

1982 • 15 citations

Idiopathic Nephrotic Syndrome in a 53-Year-Old Woman

1982 • 14 citations

A Clinical Decision Analysis Program for the Apple Computer

1983 • 14 citations

Should the Risk of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome Deter Hepatitis B Vaccination?

1984 • 14 citations

Statistical Considerations in Medical Decision Models

1983 • 14 citations

An Ambiguous Renal Cyst in a Patient with a Prior Nephrectomy

1986 • 14 citations

Cost-effective clinical decision making.

1977 • 14 citations

Decision theory analysis of the enteric morbidity and surgical staging in the treatment of advanced cervical cancer

1984 • 13 citations

Whether or not to Administer Amphotericin to an Immunosuppressed Patient with Hematologic Malignancy and Undiagnosed Fevert

1981 • 13 citations

The cerebrospinal fluid immunoglobulin G index as a diagnostic aid in multiple sclerosis: a Bayesian approach.

1982 • 12 citations

Use of Signal Detection Theory in Examining the Results of a Contrast Examination: A Case Study Using the Lymphangiogram

1977 • 12 citations

The diagnosis of jaundice by the computation of probabilities.

1975 • 11 citations

Decision Analysis as a Synthetic Tool for Achieving Consensus in Technology Assessment

1986 • 11 citations

Risk-Benefit Considerations in the Management of Polymyalgia Rheumatica

1983 • 11 citations

The decision between single- and combined-modality therapy in Hodgkin's disease

1982 • 11 citations

Optimal Strategies for the Diagnosis and Treatment of Coronary Artery Disease

1983 • 10 citations

A simple combinatorial method for calculating genetic risks

1975 • 10 citations

Noninvasive testing in coronary artery disease

1983 • 10 citations

Public Health Policy Toward Atypical Measles Syndrome in the United States

1982 • 10 citations

A pocket diagnostic calculator program for computing Bayesian probabilities for nine diseases with sixteen symptoms

1978 • 9 citations

Health Economic Analysis of the Swedish Neonatal Metabolic Screening Programme

1982 • 9 citations

Treatment Choice in Gastric Carcinoma

1982 • 9 citations

Diagnostic Strategies in the Management of Unexplained Visual Loss

1981 • 9 citations

Skull X-Ray Assessment of Head Injuries: A Decision Analytic Approach

1984 • 9 citations

Decision Theory Applied to the Treatment of Deep Vein Thrombosis

1974 • 9 citations

Decision theory as an aid in the diagnosis of cholestatic jaundice.

1983 • 9 citations

Rationale for seeking occult metastases in patients with bronchial carcinoma.

1977 • 8 citations

Treating Sore Throats in the Emergency Room

1982 • 8 citations

Enterococcal Endocarditis and Penicillin Allergy

1983 • 7 citations

A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Screening for Hepatitis B Surface Antigen in India

1981 • 7 citations

Sore throat management—Decision analysis using Pleasant Hour Equivalents

1979 • 7 citations

Cost-Effectiveness of Screening for Hypo- and Hyperthyroidism in India

1981 • 6 citations

Evaluation for Colon Cancer in Patients with Occult Fecal Blood Loss While Taking Aspirin

1982 • 6 citations

Clinical Decision Analysis Using Decision Maker

1985 • 5 citations

Recurrent Endocarditis in a Patient with a Permanent Transvenous Pacemaker

1982 • 5 citations

Use of Excretory Urogram Information in the Solution of the Renal Cyst/Tumor/Cortical Nodule Problem

1976 • 5 citations

Diagnostic efficiency of gallium 67 citrate scans in Hodgkin's disease.

1981 • 4 citations

Hepatitis B vaccination

1984 • 4 citations

Computer-Assisted Bayesian Diagnosis of Connective Tissue Diseases

1981 • 4 citations

Transfusion hepatitis. Use of statistical decision theory.

1969 • 3 citations

Decision Analysis Using Extended Techniques

1985 • 1 citations

Test sequences in screening for breast cancer.

1977 • 1 citations