Predicting Real Growth Using the Yield Curve

The Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction

1991 • 3,683 citations

The Economics of Money, Banking and Financial Markets

1986 • 2,385 citations

The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity

1991 • 1,655 citations

Data-Snooping Biases in Tests of Financial Asset Pricing Models

1990 • 1,155 citations

The real term structure and consumption growth

1988 • 690 citations

Forecasts of Economic Growth from the Bond and Stock Markets

1989 • 427 citations

Federal Reserve interest rate targeting, rational expectations, and the term structure

1995 • 417 citations

Some Lessons from the Yield Curve

1995 • 385 citations

Macroeconomic forecasts and microeconomic forecasters

2002 • 299 citations

Explorations Into Factors Explaining Money Market Returns

1994 • 283 citations

The information in forward rates

1988 • 282 citations

The Cyclical Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

1970 • 214 citations

The Term Structure and World Economic Growth

1991 • 193 citations

An Indicator of Future Inflation Extracted from the Steepness of the Interest Rate Yield Curve Along Its Entire Length

1994 • 90 citations

Term Structure Forecasts Economic Growth

1993 • 85 citations

Macroeconomics Forecasts and Microeconomic Forecasters

1995 • 27 citations

The Yield Curve and Real Activity

1993 • 20 citations

Mathematical Induction

2012 • 4 citations