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Abstract

References (40)

Numerical recipes in C

1994 • 15,831 citations

A Comparison of Three Methods for Selecting Values of Input Variables in the Analysis of Output from a Computer Code

2000 • 7,177 citations

Climate sensitivity: Analysis of feedback mechanisms

1984 • 1,123 citations

Efficient Three-Dimensional Global Models for Climate Studies: Models I and II

1983 • 1,078 citations

Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography

1986 • 994 citations

Managing the Global Commons

2000 • 485 citations

Time-dependent greenhouse warming computations with a coupled ocean-atmosphere model

1992 • 395 citations

Subjective Judgments by Climate Experts

1995 • 368 citations

Correlations and Copulas for Decision and Risk Analysis

1999 • 344 citations

An efficient method for parametric uncertainty analysis of numerical geophysical models

1997 • 339 citations

Assessing uncertainty in physical constants

1986 • 321 citations

Carbon Dioxide and Climate. The Impact of Cloud Parameterization

1993 • 308 citations

Climate Response Times: Dependence on Climate Sensitivity and Ocean Mixing

1985 • 299 citations

What is the Value of Scientific Knowledge? An Application to Global Warming Using the PRICE Model

1997 • 217 citations

Transient Response of the Hadley Centre Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model to Increasing Carbon Dioxide. Part II: Spatial and Temporal Structure of Response

1995 • 207 citations

Untitled

1999 • 191 citations

Buying Greenhouse Insurance: The Economic Costs of Carbon Dioxide Emission Limits.

1994 • 157 citations

Application of the probabilistic collocation method for an uncertainty analysis of a simple ocean model

1996 • 135 citations

An Examination of Response-Surface Methodologies for Uncertainty Analysis in Assessment Models

1985 • 129 citations

A flexible climate model for use in integrated assessments

1998 • 121 citations

The risk of sea level rise

1996 • 121 citations

Monte Carlo climate change forecasts with a global coupled ocean-atmosphere model

1994 • 115 citations

Transient Response of the Hadley Centre Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model to Increasing Carbon Dioxide. Part III: Analysis of Global-Mean Response Using Simple Models

1995 • 111 citations

CO2 Emissions Limits: Economic Adjustments and the Distribution of Burdens

1997 • 102 citations

Development of a Two-Dimensional Zonally Averaged Statistical-Dynamical Model. Part III: The Parameterization of the Eddy Fluxes of Heat and Moisture

1990 • 102 citations

Future changes in global mean temperature and sea level

1993 • 85 citations

When is it appropriate to combine expert judgments?

1996 • 82 citations

Mixed Levels of Uncertainty in Complex Policy Models

1999 • 74 citations

Expert Resolution

1986 • 66 citations

A global interactive chemistry and climate model: Formulation and testing

1998 • 65 citations

Importance Sampling in Monte Carlo Analyses

1961 • 63 citations

Constraining uncertainties in climate models using climate change detection techniques

2000 • 60 citations

Development of a Two-Dimensional Zonally Averaged Statistical-Dynamical Model.Part II: The Role of Eddy Momentum Fluxes in the General Circulation and their Parameterization

1987 • 51 citations

Emulation of the results from a coupled general circulation model using a simple climate model

1996 • 43 citations

Uncertainties in global climate change estimates

1996 • 33 citations

Development of a Two-Dimensional Zonally Averaged Statistical-Dynamical Model. Part I The Parameterization of Moist Convection and its Role in the General Circulation

1987 • 31 citations

Projections of global mean sea level rise calculated with a 2D energy-balance climate model and dynamic ice sheet models

1997 • 27 citations

Influence of natural variability and the cold start problem on the simulated transient response to increasing CO 2

1997 • 22 citations

Uncertainty in the oceanic heat and carbon uptake and its impact on climate projections

1998 • 12 citations

Uncertainty in atmospheric CO₂ concentrations from a parametric uncertainty analysis of a global ocean carbon cycle model

1998 • 1 citations

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